Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 4/1/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Thursday, April 1, 2021

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-108) Milwaukee (-102)

Kenta Maeda and the Minnesota Twins (36-24, 1st in AL Central last year) head to American Family Field on Thursday where they'll meet the Milwaukee Brewers (29-31, 4th in NL Central last season). The line on this matchup has the Twins priced at -108 and the Brewers are at -102. The total is set at 9.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Kenta Maeda and Brandon Woodruff.

The Twins accrued 81 doubles as a squad and knocked 91 balls out of the park last season. Minnesota was slugging .427 and were called out on strikes 528 times, while drawing a walk on 186 occasions. As a unit, the Minnesota Twins knocked in 4.5 runs per outing, which put them at 19th in baseball. They accrued 258 RBI's as well as 468 base knocks in the prior season, while their team batting average sat at .242. They tallied 269 runs and have an on-base percentage of .315.

The Twins finished with a team ERA of 3.58 for the prior year (4th in MLB), and their staff rung up 535 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio was 3.15 and the pitching staff earned a collective WHIP of 1.20. Twins pitchers allowed 62 home runs and 215 runs (28th in the league). They walked 170 opposing batters and their FIP came in at 3.79 as a squad over the course of last season. The Twins bullpen recorded a save rate of 63.0% and entered the game in 82 save situations. The relievers inherited 83 base runners during the previous year and 27.7% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Twins relief pitchers went to the mound with runners on in 48 outings as well as 73 games with high leverage. The Twins had sent 202 relievers to the mound for the prior year. The bullpen finished with 53 holds during the previous year (1st in the league). They recorded 17 saves in the previous season and blew 10 out of their 27 save chances.

Kenta Maeda gave up 40 base hits in 66.2 innings last season. His ERA was 2.70 and he struck out 80 opposing batters. He gave up 20 earned runs throughout last year and had a K/BB ratio of 8.0. He allowed 5.4 hits per nine innings and his WHIP was at 0.75. Maeda held a FIP of 3 and his ERA+ was 157. Maeda has thrown 655 innings and has totaled 721 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. Maeda (53-36 record in his career) has a FIP of 3.64 while going up against 2,677 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.75 (273 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.110. He has surrendered 540 hits (7.4 hits per nine innings) with 188 free passes.

The Milwaukee Brewers recorded a team OBP of .313 and a batting average of .223 over the course of last season. They were rung up on 582 occasions (2nd in the league) and totaled 429 hits. Milwaukee tallied 75 long balls in the prior season to go along with 238 RBIs. The Brewers held a slugging % of .389 and they were earning 4.12 runs per contest (27th in baseball). They recorded 83 two-baggers, while getting a free base 221 times and racking up 247 runs.

The Brewers held a team WHIP of 1.228 with a FIP of 3.80 as a pitching staff last season. Their strikeout to walk ratio came in at 3.25 (614 strikeouts vs 189 walks). They had a ranking of 26th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 446. They conceded 67 home runs and they allowed 4.59 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league). The Milwaukee pitching staff allowed 264 runs during the previous year and come in with a team ERA of 4.16 (239 earned runs given up). Milwaukee relievers held an inherited score percentage of 36.0% out of their 77 inherited base runners. Their relievers stepped onto the hill in 54 games with high leverage and also 47 outings with runners on base. Finishing with 22 chances for a save, the Brewers earned 20 holds in addition to 8 blown saves. They ranked 11th in baseball holding a save percentage of 63.6%, and they dispatched 189 relief pitchers onto the diamond on the season. Milwaukee called on relief pitchers to step onto the hill in 43 save situations and they walked away with 14 saves.

Woodruff had a strikeout to walk ratio of 5.1 with 91 total punch outs and he was the owner of an ERA+ of 150. He threw 73.2 innings last year while conceding 6.7 H/9. Woodruff gave up 55 hits while he surrendered 25 earned runs (3.05 ERA). His WHIP was at 0.99 and he was the owner of a FIP of 3.20 last year. So far in his pro baseball career, Woodruff has allowed 243 hits while earning 313 punch outs in 280 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 114 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.137 and a FIP of 3.3. His K/BB ratio is 4.12 and he has gone up against 1,146 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Woodruff (19-11 career mark) has a 3.66 ERA while allowing 7.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Minnesota (-108)

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