Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, 7/4/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Sunday, July 4, 2021

Location: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: Bally Sports Kansas City

Kauffman Stadium is the site where Brad Keller and the Kansas City Royals (33-47, 5th in AL Central) will take on the Minnesota Twins (33-46, 4th in AL Central) on Sunday.

Minnesota is slugging .433 and have been called out on strikes 683 times, while being walked on 258 occasions. They have accrued 344 runs batted in and 655 base knocks on the campaign, and their batting average is at .245. The Twins have accrued 136 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 115 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 368 runs while holding a team OBP of .316. As a unit, the Minnesota Twins are earning 4.7 runs/g, which puts them at 11th in the league.

The Twins are sitting with a team ERA of 5.04 so far this year (26th in baseball), and they have struck out 635 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 243 hitters and their FIP is 4.82 as a unit over the course of the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.61 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.37. Twins pitchers have conceded 123 long balls in addition to 430 total runs (28th in MLB).

The Twins have dispatched 259 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. The relievers have inherited 88 base runners for the year with 59.1% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have recorded 19 saves so far this season and have missed out on 11 of their 30 save opportunities. The Twins relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 63.3% and has stepped onto the mound in 73 save situations. The bullpen have earned 43 holds on the campaign (9th in the league). Twins bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 63 times as well as having 90 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Minnesota Twins have earned 2,074 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 699 assists and 54 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .981 which has them sitting 28th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 525 double plays. The Twins have turned 68.6% of balls in play into outs out of 6,222 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 23rd in professional baseball.

Maeda has pitched in 712 frames and is sitting with 775 punch outs in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.89 (308 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.146. He has conceded 608 base knocks (7.7 hits per nine innings) and has 208 free passes. Maeda (56-39 career record) holds a FIP of 3.75 and he has faced 2,934 batters during his time in the majors.

The Kansas City Royals have earned an on-base percentage of .305 as well as a team batting average of .244 on the campaign. They have been rung up on 646 instances (28th in the league) and have a total of 646 hits. Kansas City has tallied 79 home runs over the course of the season as well as 311 runs batted in. The Royals have a team slugging percentage of .388 and they are recording 4.09 runs per contest (24th in the league). They have put up 113 two-baggers, while walking 218 times as well as racking up 327 runs.

The Kansas City pitching staff have relinquished 410 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 5.06 (387 earned runs yielded). They have relinquished 101 home runs and they relinquish 5.36 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league). The Royals have a team WHIP of 1.469 and have a FIP of 4.58 as a squad this year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.18 (693 strikeouts against 318 walks). They are sitting at 24th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 693.

Kansas City relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 27.7% out of their 119 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 71 times in high leverage situations and on 75 occasions with runners on. With 66 save situations, the Royals have earned 37 holds and 13 blown saves. They sit at 25th in MLB holding a save rate of 55.2%, and they have sent 268 relievers to the hill on the campaign. Kansas City has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 29 save opportunities and they have come away with 16 saves.

The Kansas City Royals have turned 72 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .984 (16th in pro baseball). The Royals have 677 assists, 46 errors and are sitting with 2,065 putouts for the season. In 6,195 innings on the field, the Royals have earned a defensive efficiency of 67.3% (28th in pro baseball).

In his career, Keller has surrendered 436 hits while he has accumulated 320 K's in 441 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 200 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.394 and having a FIP of 4.1. His strikeout to walk ratio is 1.79 and he has gone up against 1,897 hitters during his pro baseball career. Keller (27-31 career record) has earned a 4.08 earned run average and has given up 8.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Kansas City

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