Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, 7/3/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Saturday, July 3, 2021

Location: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: Bally Sports Kansas City

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+110) Kansas City (-135)

Danny Duffy and the Kansas City Royals (33-47, 5th in AL Central) host the Minnesota Twins (33-46, 4th in AL Central) at Kauffman Stadium on Saturday. The Royals open this contest at -135 while the Twins are coming in at +110. The over/under opens at 9.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Griffin Jax and Danny Duffy.

As a squad, the Minnesota Twins are notching 4.7 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 11th in the league. They have a total of 368 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .316. The Twins have earned 136 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 115 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 344 RBI's and 655 base knocks for the year, while their average at the plate sits at .245. Minnesota has a slugging % of .433 and have struck out 683 times, while being walked on 258 occasions.

The Twins are sitting with a team earned run average of 5.04 so far this year (26th in the league), and their staff has struck out 635 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 243 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.82 as a unit so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.61 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.37. Twins pitchers have relinquished 123 home runs and 430 runs in total (28th in the league).

Twins relief pitchers have entered the game with players on base 63 times and also have had 90 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 43 holds on the year (9th in MLB). The Twins relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 63.3% and has stepped onto the mound in 73 save situations. They have 19 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 11 out of their 30 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 88 base runners on the campaign and 59.1% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Twins have dispatched 259 relievers to the mound for the season.

The Twins have converted 68.6% of balls in play into outs out of 6,222 innings, which has them sitting at 23rd in professional baseball. The Minnesota Twins have a tally of 2,074 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 699 assists and 54 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .981 which ranks 28th in baseball, and they have turned 525 double plays.

Jax (1-0 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 7.74 and he has faced 57 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 14 base knocks (9.9 hits per 9 innings) with 5 free passes. His ERA is 7.82 (11 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.500. Jax has taken the mound for 12 frames and is sitting with 11 strikeouts during his MLB career.

The Royals hold a team SLG% of .388 and they average 4.09 runs per contest (24th in the league). They have hit 113 two-baggers, while taking a walk 218 times as well as earning 327 runs. Kansas City is sitting with 79 home runs so far this season to go along with 311 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 646 occasions (28th in the league) and have accounted for 646 hits. The Kansas City Royals have compiled a team OBP of .305 as well as a batting average of .244 for the year.

The Royals hold a team WHIP of 1.469 in addition to having a FIP of 4.58 as a team this season. They are currently ranked 24th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 693. The Kansas City pitching staff have given up 410 runs on the season while having an ERA of 5.06 (387 earned runs allowed). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 2.18 (693 strikeouts vs 318 walks). They have given up 101 long balls and they concede 5.36 runs per 9 innings (26th in baseball).

Kansas City has had relief pitchers enter the game in 29 save opportunities and they have converted 16 saves. They rank 25th in baseball holding a save rate of 55.2%, and they have sent 268 relievers onto the field on the year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 71 times in high leverage situations and on 75 occasions with base runners. Kansas City bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 27.7% out of their 119 inherited runners. Sitting with 66 save situations, the Royals have earned 37 holds and 13 blown saves.

The Kansas City Royals have turned 72 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .984 (16th in the majors). The Royals have racked up 677 assists, 46 errors and have notched a total of 2,065 putouts for the season. In 6,195 innings on the diamond, the Royals hold a defensive efficiency of 67.3% (28th in baseball).

Duffy (68-68 career mark) has earned a 3.96 earned run average while conceding 8.5 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.44 and he has faced 4,919 opposing hitters in his MLB career. He has given up a total of 510 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.315 and a FIP of 4.2. So far in his career, Duffy has surrendered 1,099 base knocks while earning 1,038 K's in 1,159 innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Minnesota (+110)

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