Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox Prediction, 6/28/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox

Date: Monday, June 28, 2021

Location: Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, IL

TV: NBC Sports Chicago

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+110) Chicago (-141)

Lucas Giolito and the Chicago White Sox (44-31, 1st in AL Central) host the Minnesota Twins (32-43, 5th in AL Central) at Guaranteed Rate Field on Monday. The line on this matchup has the Twins priced at +110 and the White Sox are at -141. The over/under is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Bailey Ober and Lucas Giolito.

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As a squad, the Minnesota Twins are scoring 4.6 runs/g, which has them at 10th in the league. They have 346 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .316. The Twins have hit 128 doubles as a squad and have hit 108 baseballs out of the stadium. They have earned 323 runs batted in and 626 base knocks so far this season, while their average at the plate is sitting at .246. Minnesota has a slugging percentage of .432 and have been rung up 653 times, while drawing a walk on 239 occasions.

The Twins have compiled a team ERA of 4.90 on the season (26th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 610 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 228 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.72 as a squad so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.68 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.35. Twins pitchers have given up 114 home runs in addition to 400 runs in total (28th in the league).

The Twins have sent 249 relievers to the hill so far this season. The relievers have inherited 82 base runners so far this year and 59.8% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have tallied 19 saves this season and have blown 11 of 30 chances to get a save. The Twins bullpen have a save rate of 63.3% and stepped onto the hill in 73 save situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 43 holds this year (9th in the league). Twins relief pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 59 times and also have had 90 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Twins have converted 68.4% of baseballs in play into outs out of 5,844 innings, ranking them 23rd in professional baseball. The Minnesota Twins have earned 1,948 putouts so far this season, as well as 662 assists and 52 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .980 which has them ranked 28th in pro baseball, and have a total of 489 double plays.

Ober has taken the ball for 21 frames and has 23 K's during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.64 (11 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.313. He has allowed 24 base knocks (10.1 hits per nine innings) with 4 walks. Ober (0-0 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.14 while he has faced 90 batters in the majors.

The Chicago White Sox are sitting with an OBP of .333 and a batting average of .249 on the year. They have struck out on 663 occasions (17th in the league) and have 607 hits. Chicago has recorded 72 home runs this year to go along with 331 runs batted in. The White Sox hold a slugging percentage of .398 and they are scoring 4.79 runs per contest (9th in the league). They have put up 121 doubles, while getting a free base 284 times and scoring 359 runs.

The Chicago pitching staff have allowed 279 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 3.42 (245 earned runs yielded). They have given up 81 home runs and they relinquish 3.90 runs per 9 innings (7th in baseball). The White Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.191 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.58 as a pitching staff this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.46 (747 strikeouts against 216 free passes). They are currently ranked 4th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 551.

Chicago relievers have an inherited score rate of 32.1% out of their 106 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 72 times in high leverage situations and also on 64 occasions with base runners. With 74 save situations, the White Sox have accumulated 36 holds and 14 blown saves. They are currently ranked 18th in MLB holding a save rate of 60.0%, and they have sent 216 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the season. Chicago has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 35 save chances and they have converted 21 saves.

The Chicago White Sox have turned 48 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .979 (30th in MLB). The White Sox have recorded 545 assists, 52 errors and have accounted for 1,907 putouts for the season. In 5,721 innings on the field, the White Sox have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.2% (18th in pro baseball).

Giolito (36-34 career record) holds a 4.34 earned run average and has surrendered 7.3 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.65 and he has gone up against 2,404 hitters during his pro baseball career. He has given up 278 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.207 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.5. During his pro baseball career, Giolito has allowed 468 base knocks while he has earned 605 punch outs in 576 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (-141)

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