Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 9/21/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs
Date: Tuesday, September 21, 2021
Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL
TV: Marquee Sports Network
Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-105) Chicago (-116)
Wrigley Field is the venue where Alec Mills and the Chicago Cubs (67-83, 4th in NL Central) will play the Minnesota Twins (65-85, 5th in AL Central) on Tuesday. The Twins open this matchup at -105 while the Cubs are priced at -116. The total has been set at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Griffin Jax and Alec Mills.
The Twins have recorded 249 doubles as a team and have smacked 212 baseballs out of the stadium. Minnesota has a slugging percentage of .421 and have struck out 1,297 times, while being walked on 491 occasions. As a unit, the Minnesota Twins are scoring 4.5 runs/g, which ranks them 15th in MLB. They have amassed 634 runs batted in as well as 1,201 hits so far this season, while their team batting average is .239. They are sitting with 670 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .312.
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The Twins have compiled a team earned run average of 4.89 for the season (27th in MLB), and they have struck out 1,210 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 449 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.69 as a team this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.69 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.32. Twins pitchers have allowed 226 home runs in addition to 783 runs in total (28th in baseball).
The Twins have dispatched 481 relief pitchers to the hill this season. The relievers have inherited 160 runners on the season and 45.0% of them crossed the plate. They have accumulated 37 saves this season and have not converted 20 of their 57 chances to get a save. The Twins bullpen have a save percentage of 64.9% and has stepped onto the mound in 134 save situations. The relief pitchers have earned 76 holds on the year (13th in the league). Twins relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 121 times as well as having 165 appearances in high leverage situations.
The Twins have turned 69.4% of balls in play into outs out of their 11,811 innings, which has them ranked 19th in MLB. The Minnesota Twins are sitting with 3,937 putouts for the season, as well as 1,328 assists and 102 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .981 which is 28th in the majors, and have a total of 987 double plays.
Jax has pitched in 69 innings and has tallied 54 K's so far in his career. His earned run average is 6.65 (51 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.391. He has conceded 71 hits (9.3 hits per nine innings) and has had 25 walks. Jax (3-4 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 6.35 while he has gone up against 304 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues.
The Cubs have a team slugging percentage of .406 and they score 4.33 runs per game (19th in the league). They have 201 two-baggers, while getting a free base 451 times and scoring 650 runs. Chicago has compiled 200 home runs for the year to go along with 618 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,488 occasions (1st in the league) and have earned a total of 1,146 hits. The Chicago Cubs have accumulated an OBP of .307 and a batting average of .233 over the course of the season.
The Cubs have a WHIP of 1.399 with a FIP of 4.84 as a unit this year. They rank 25th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,275. The Chicago pitching staff have relinquished 772 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 4.83 (704 earned runs surrendered). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.26 (1,263 strikeouts against 560 walks). They have yielded 214 long balls and they surrender 5.30 runs per 9 innings (27th in baseball).
Chicago bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.8% out of their 264 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 161 times in high leverage situations and on 160 occasions with runners on. With 125 save situations, the Cubs have 72 holds and 14 blown saves. They rank 1st in baseball holding a save percentage of 73.1%, and they have dispatched 556 relievers onto the field for the season. Chicago has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 52 save opportunities and they have walked away with 38 saves.
In 11,808 innings played, the Cubs have a efficiency on defense of 69.2% (21st in the majors). The Chicago Cubs have twisted 135 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (14th in the majors). The Cubs have accrued 1,445 assists, 81 errors and have notched a total of 3,936 putouts on the campaign.
Mills (12-12 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a 4.31 ERA and has conceded 8.7 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.76 and he has faced 952 batters thus far in his career. He has allowed 108 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.276 and a FIP of 4.5. In his MLB career, Mills has surrendered 218 base hits while he has totaled 193 K's in 225 frames.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (-116)
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Additional Resources:
Chicago Cubs - Twitter
Minnesota Twins - Twitter