Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 7/28/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Wednesday, July 28, 2021

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-141) Pittsburgh (+110)

PNC Park is the venue where Cody Ponce and the Pittsburgh Pirates (38-61, 5th in NL Central) will take on the Milwaukee Brewers (58-42, 1st in NL Central) on Wednesday. The Pirates open this game at +110 while the Brewers are coming in at -141. The O/U is set at 9. The starting pitchers will be Adrian Houser and Cody Ponce.

As a unit, the Milwaukee Brewers are putting up 4.4 runs per game, which puts them at 14th in the league. They are sitting with 439 runs scored and have an OBP of .314. The Brewers have compiled 141 doubles as a team and have hit 119 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 417 runs batted in and 733 hits this season, and their team batting average is at .223. Milwaukee has a slugging % of .383 and have been called out on strikes 970 times, while drawing a walk on 383 occasions.

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The Brewers have compiled a team earned run average of 3.34 on the year (3rd in baseball), and their staff has rung up 1,014 batters. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.91 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.17. Brewers pitchers have relinquished 102 home runs and 374 runs in total (3rd in the league). They have walked 348 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.71 as a team this season.

Brewers relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 60 times as well as having 120 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 48 holds this season (15th in the league). The Brewers relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 56.8% and has entered the game in 93 save situations. They have recorded 25 saves for the year and have blown 19 out of their 44 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 79 base runners so far this year and 34.2% of those players earned a run for their team. The Brewers have dispatched 318 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign.

The Milwaukee Brewers have a tally of 2,676 putouts so far this season, in addition to 828 assists and 58 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .984 which has them sitting 17th in the majors, and have accumulated 620 double plays. The Brewers have turned 71.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of 8,028 innings on the field, ranking them 4th in the majors.

Houser (13-18 career record) has a FIP of 4.33 while going up against 1,175 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has surrendered 266 base knocks (8.7 hits per nine innings) and has 109 free passes. His earned run average is 4.05 (124 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.360. Houser has thrown 275 frames and is sitting with 243 strikeouts during his career.

The Pirates hold a slugging % of .369 and they tally 3.71 runs per contest (30th in MLB). They have put up 154 doubles, while getting a free base 314 times as well as putting up 367 runs. Pittsburgh has hit 82 home runs this year and 344 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 807 occasions (27th in MLB) and have tallied 788 base hits. The Pittsburgh Pirates have compiled an on-base percentage of .310 as well as a batting average of .239 this season.

The Pirates are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.382 in addition to having a FIP of 4.61 as a pitching staff this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.25 (817 strikeouts vs 363 walks). They are sitting at 17th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 812. They have given up 126 dingers and they concede 5.18 runs per 9 innings (25th in baseball). The Pittsburgh pitching staff have yielded 489 runs over the course of the season while having a team ERA of 4.90 (463 earned runs conceded).

With 67 save situations, the Pirates have accrued 43 holds and also 7 blown saves. Pittsburgh has had relievers step onto the mound in 22 save chances and they have earned 15 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 74 times in high leverage situations in addition to 77 occasions with base runners. Pittsburgh bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 31.3% out of their 128 inherited base runners. They sit at 5th in baseball with a save rate of 68.2%, and they have sent 345 relievers to the hill so far this season.

Out of their 7,653 innings on the field, the Pirates have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (20th in pro baseball). The Pittsburgh Pirates have turned 83 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .986 (6th in professional baseball). The Pirates have 865 assists, 49 errors and have a total of 2,551 putouts for the season.

Ponce (1-3 record in his career) holds a 6.08 ERA and has conceded 11.1 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.10 and he has faced 118 hitters thus far in his career. He has surrendered a total of 18 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.613 and a FIP of 6.1. In his career, Ponce has surrendered 33 base hits while totaling 21 strikeouts in 26 frames.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-141)

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