Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 7/1/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Thursday, July 1, 2021

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-227) Pittsburgh (+175)

PNC Park is the site where Wil Crowe and the Pittsburgh Pirates (29-49, 5th in NL Central) will take on the Milwaukee Brewers (47-33, 1st in NL Central) on Thursday. The Brewers open this matchup at -227 while the Pirates are priced at +175. The over/under opens at 7.5. The starting pitchers will be Corbin Burnes and Wil Crowe.

As a team, the Milwaukee Brewers are putting up 4.2 runs/g, which puts them at 18th in baseball. They have notched a total of 335 runs scored and hold an OBP of .305. The Brewers have accrued 112 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 95 balls out of the park. They have accrued 321 RBI's and 566 base knocks on the season, while their team batting average is .216. Milwaukee is slugging .374 and have struck out 781 times, while drawing a walk on 294 occasions.

The Brewers have an ERA of 3.58 on the year (8th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 832 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 281 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.77 as a squad this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.96 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.18. Brewers pitchers have conceded 89 home runs in addition to 313 runs in total (9th in baseball).

The Brewers have sent 255 relievers to the hill on the campaign. The relievers have inherited 59 base runners so far this season and 37.3% of those runners crossed the plate. They have accumulated 24 saves on the season and have blown 14 of 38 save opportunities. The Brewers relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 63.2% and has entered the game in 79 save situations. The bullpen have racked up 41 holds for the year (10th in baseball). Brewers pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 49 times in addition to having 100 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Brewers have turned 71.1% of balls hit into play into outs in their 6,444 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 6th in professional baseball. The Milwaukee Brewers have accumulated 2,148 putouts thus far, as well as 647 assists and 46 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .984 which is 14th in the majors, and have a total of 480 double plays.

Burnes (15-10 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 2.95 and he has gone up against 923 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has given up 189 hits (7.7 hits per nine innings) and has 69 walks. His earned run average is 3.82 (94 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.166. Burnes has pitched in 221 innings and has racked up 308 strikeouts in his pro baseball career.

The Pirates hold a team slugging % of .352 and they are recording 3.53 runs per contest (30th in MLB). They have put up 117 two-baggers, while walking 238 times as well as scoring 275 runs. Pittsburgh has recorded 58 HRs for the year as well as 259 RBIs. They have been rung up on 643 occasions (26th in MLB) and have totaled 592 hits. The Pittsburgh Pirates have earned an OBP of .300 as well as a team batting average of .230 over the course of the season.

The Pittsburgh pitching staff have conceded 370 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 4.67 (349 earned runs surrendered). They have yielded 94 HR's and they surrender 4.95 runs per 9 innings (22nd in baseball). The Pirates have a WHIP of 1.324 with a FIP of 4.45 as a team on the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 2.33 (629 strikeouts against 270 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 16th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 620.

Pittsburgh relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 28.0% out of their 100 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 58 times in high leverage situations and on 62 occasions with base runners. With 48 save situations, the Pirates have compiled 31 holds and 4 blown saves. They are ranked 4th in MLB with a save percentage of 73.3%, and they have sent 265 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this year. Pittsburgh has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 15 save chances and they have tallied 11 saves.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have turned 58 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (9th in pro baseball). The Pirates have accrued 699 assists, 41 errors and have earned 2,017 putouts so far this year. Out of their 6,051 innings played, the Pirates have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (12th in MLB).

In his pro baseball career, Crowe has conceded 66 base knocks and he has 48 punch outs in 54 frames. Crowe (1-6 career record) is the owner of a 7.33 earned run average and has conceded 11.0 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 44 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.778 and a FIP of 7.1. His K/BB ratio is 1.60 and he has gone up against 255 batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+175)

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