Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 5/5/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Wednesday, May 5, 2021

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-133) Philadelphia (+123)

Chase Anderson and the Philadelphia Phillies (14-15, 2nd in NL East) host the Milwaukee Brewers (17-12, 1st in NL Central) at Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday. The Phillies open this matchup at +123 while the Brewers are priced at -133. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Freddy Peralta and Chase Anderson.

Milwaukee has a slugging % of .373 and have been called out on strikes 299 times, while drawing a walk on 96 occasions. They have 113 runs batted in in addition to 208 base knocks over the course of the season, while their average at the plate is sitting at .217. The Brewers have earned 33 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 36 balls out of the stadium. They have a total of 116 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .302. As a team, the Milwaukee Brewers are putting up 4.0 runs/g, which has them sitting at 21st in the league.

The Brewers are sitting with a team ERA of 3.64 for the year (9th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 291 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.80 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.18. Brewers pitchers have surrendered 32 long balls in addition to 118 runs in total (13th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 104 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.90 as a team this season.

The Brewers have sent 98 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 25 runners so far this season and 32.0% of them crossed home plate. They have accumulated 8 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 3 of their 11 chances to get a save. The Brewers bullpen have a save rate of 72.7% and has stepped onto the mound in 31 save situations. The relief pitchers have notched 20 holds over the course of the season (5th in baseball). Brewers bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 18 times and also have had 41 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Milwaukee Brewers have amassed 786 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 242 assists and 15 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .986 which ranks 8th in baseball, and they have turned 175 double plays. The Brewers have turned 71.9% of balls in play into outs out of 2,358 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 6th in the majors.

Peralta (19-8 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 3.63 while facing 940 hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 172 base knocks (7.0 hits per nine innings) and has had 103 free passes. His earned run average is 4.36 (107 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.246. Peralta has taken the mound for 220 innings and has 303 punch outs during his MLB career.

Philadelphia has tallied 30 home runs on the year to go along with 106 runs batted in. They have hit 38 doubles, while walking 88 times and recording 112 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have an OBP of .303 as well as a batting average of .231 this season. The Phillies have a team SLG% of .377 and they are recording 3.86 runs per contest (26th in the league). They have been rung up on 282 occasions (7th in the league) and have earned 216 base hits.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have surrendered 128 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 4.39 (123 earned runs yielded). They have given up 38 home runs and they relinquish 4.57 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league). The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.278 in addition to having a FIP of 4.10 as a squad on the campaign. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.25 (260 strikeouts vs 80 bases on balls). They rank 26th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 242.

With 26 save situations, the Phillies have accumulated 12 holds and 6 blown saves. Philadelphia has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 14 save chances and they have earned 8 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 42 times in high leverage situations and also on 23 occasions with runners on base. Philadelphia relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 51.4% out of 37 inherited runners. They rank 22nd in MLB holding a save percentage of 57.1%, and they have sent 87 relievers to the mound so far this year.

In their 2,268 innings on the field, the Phillies have a efficiency on defense of 68.6% (21st in the majors). The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 24 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (11th in pro baseball). The Phillies have accrued 240 assists, 15 errors and are sitting with 756 putouts for the year.

In his pro baseball career, Anderson has given up 866 base hits while he has tallied 778 K's in 912 innings pitched. Anderson (55-45 record in his career) has earned a 4.09 ERA and has given up 8.5 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 415 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.279 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.6. His K/BB ratio is 2.58 and he has gone up against 3,830 opposing hitters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+123)

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