Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Prediction, 7/7/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets

Date: Wednesday, July 7, 2021

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-135) New York (+110)

Robert Stock and the New York Mets (44-37, 1st in NL East) play the Milwaukee Brewers (51-35, 1st in NL Central) at Citi Field on Wednesday. The Brewers open this contest at -135 while the Mets are priced at +110. The over/under is set at 7. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Corbin Burnes and Robert Stock.

Milwaukee is slugging .379 and have been rung up 840 times, while being walked on 326 occasions. They have 358 runs batted in in addition to 621 base knocks so far this year, while their team batting average comes in at .220. The Brewers have tallied 124 two-baggers as a team and have hit 102 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 377 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .311. As a team, the Milwaukee Brewers are notching 4.4 runs/g, which has them at 14th in the league.

The Brewers have a team ERA of 3.53 this year (6th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 875 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.88 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.18. Brewers pitchers have given up 93 long balls and 332 total runs (7th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 304 opposing players and their FIP is 3.79 as a unit this season.

Brewers pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 54 times as well as having 100 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have accumulated 42 holds so far this season (13th in baseball). The Brewers bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 63.2% and has stepped onto the mound in 80 save situations. They have earned 24 saves so far this season and have missed out on 14 of 38 save chances. The relievers have inherited 69 runners on the season and 34.8% of them ended up scoring. The Brewers have dispatched 272 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season.

The Brewers have transformed 71.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 6,912 innings on the field, which has them ranked 3rd in baseball. The Milwaukee Brewers have accumulated 2,304 putouts on the campaign, as well as 705 assists and 48 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .984 which has them sitting 10th in MLB, and have 519 double plays.

Burnes has taken the mound for 228 innings and has accumulated 313 strikeouts thus far in his career. Burnes (16-10 career mark) has a FIP of 2.98 while he has faced 949 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.74 (95 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.150. He has given up 193 hits (7.6 hits per nine innings) and has 70 free passes.

The New York Mets have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .308 as well as a batting average of .230 over the course of the season. They have been called out on strikes on 704 occasions (23rd in the league) and have a total of 585 base knocks. New York has compiled 79 long balls on the season as well as 286 runs batted in. The Mets have a team SLG% of .369 and they average 3.69 runs per game (29th in the league). They have hit 105 doubles, while walking 249 times as well as scoring 299 runs.

The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.149 with a FIP of 3.50 as a team this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.24 (755 strikeouts against 233 bases on balls). They come in at 1st in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 551. They have given up 74 homers and they surrender 3.85 runs per 9 innings (5th in MLB). The New York pitching staff have conceded 292 runs this year while holding an ERA of 3.34 (253 earned runs allowed).

With 70 save situations, the Mets have tallied 35 holds in addition to 11 blown saves. New York has called on relievers to enter the contest in 34 save chances and they have recorded 23 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 83 times in high leverage situations and on 63 occasions with runners on base. New York bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 36.5% out of their 96 inherited base runners. They are ranked 7th in the league with a save rate of 67.6%, and they have dispatched 248 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this year.

The New York Mets have turned 62 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .983 (22nd in baseball). The Mets have recorded 648 assists, 47 errors and are sitting with 2,048 putouts during this campaign. In 6,144 innings on the diamond, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 70.4% (10th in MLB).

So far in his career, Stock has surrendered 71 hits while he has totaled 70 strikeouts in 67 innings pitched. Stock (2-3 win-loss record in his career) has a 4.66 earned run average while conceding 9.4 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 35 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.596 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.89 and he has gone up against 306 hitters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-135)

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