Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Prediction, 7/6/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday, July 6, 2021

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+260) New York (-370)

Jacob deGrom and the New York Mets (43-37, 1st in NL East) host the Milwaukee Brewers (51-34, 1st in NL Central) at Citi Field on Tuesday. The odds on this matchup have the Brewers coming in at +260 and the Mets are at -370. The O/U has been set at 6.5. The expected starting pitchers are Brett Anderson and Jacob deGrom.

The Brewers have recorded 123 doubles as a unit and have hit 101 baseballs out of the park. Milwaukee has a slugging percentage of .380 and have struck out 827 times, while taking a walk on 323 occasions. As a squad, the Milwaukee Brewers are knocking in 4.4 runs per outing, which puts them at 14th in MLB. They have recorded 357 runs batted in and 616 hits on the year, while their team batting average is .221. They have accumulated 375 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .311.

The Brewers have an ERA of 3.52 on the season (6th in the league), and the staff has rung up 869 batters. They have walked 302 hitters and their FIP is 3.80 as a team on the year. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.88 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.18. Brewers pitchers have surrendered 93 home runs and also 328 runs in total (7th in MLB).

Brewers relief pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 52 times as well as having 100 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have a total of 42 holds over the course of the season (11th in the league). The Brewers relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 63.2% and has entered the game in 80 save situations. They have compiled 24 saves for the season and have blown 14 out of their 38 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 65 runners on the year with 36.9% of those players crossed home plate. The Brewers have dispatched 269 relievers to the mound this year.

The Brewers have transformed 71.5% of baseballs in play into outs in their 6,840 innings, which has them sitting at 4th in professional baseball. The Milwaukee Brewers have accumulated 2,280 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 691 assists and 48 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .984 which has them ranked 11th in professional baseball, and they have twisted 511 double plays.

Anderson (65-70 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.97 and he has gone up against 4,633 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has conceded 1,170 base hits (9.6 hits per nine innings) and has had 291 free passes. His earned run average is 4.09 (496 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.338. Anderson has taken the hill for 1,092 innings and has tallied 745 punch outs during his pro baseball career.

New York has a total of 79 home runs on the year and 282 runs batted in. They have notched 103 two-baggers, while walking 247 times as well as notching 295 runs. The New York Mets hold a team OBP of .309 and a batting average of .230 so far this season. The Mets have a team slugging % of .369 and they earn 3.69 runs per game (29th in the league). They have struck out on 698 occasions (23rd in baseball) and have earned 579 hits.

The Mets have a WHIP of 1.153 with a FIP of 3.51 as a unit so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 3.23 (742 strikeouts against 230 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 1st in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 546. They have allowed 73 homers and they relinquish 3.88 runs per 9 innings (5th in baseball). The New York pitching staff have conceded 290 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 3.36 (251 earned runs surrendered).

New York has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 33 save opportunities and they have tallied 22 saves. They sit at 8th in MLB holding a save rate of 66.7%, and they have sent 244 relievers to the hill for the year. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 82 times in high leverage situations and on 63 occasions with runners on. New York relievers hold an inherited score rate of 36.5% out of their 96 inherited runners. With 68 save situations, the Mets have earned 34 holds in addition to 11 blown saves.

In 6,063 innings on the diamond, the Mets have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 70.3% (10th in pro baseball). The New York Mets have turned 61 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (23rd in pro baseball). The Mets have accrued 641 assists, 47 errors and have amassed 2,021 putouts on the season.

deGrom (77-53 career mark) has earned a 2.50 ERA and has conceded 7.0 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 5.07 and he has faced 4,954 opposing batters in his pro baseball career. He has allowed a total of 348 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.013 and a FIP of 2.6. In his career, deGrom has surrendered 976 hits while tallying 1,495 punch outs in 1,254 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-370)

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