Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, 10/2/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Date: Saturday, October 2, 2021
Location: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA
TV: Spectrum Sportsnet LA
Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+120) Los Angeles (-152)
Corbin Burnes and the Milwaukee Brewers (95-64, 1st in NL Central) go to Dodger Stadium on Saturday where they'll meet the Los Angeles Dodgers (103-56, 2nd in NL West). The Dodgers open this matchup at -152 while the Brewers are priced at +120. The O/U is set at 7. The starting pitchers are Corbin Burnes and Julio Urias.
As a team, the Milwaukee Brewers are earning 4.6 runs per game, which ranks them 11th in the league. They have accumulated 726 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .318. The Brewers have hit 244 doubles as a squad and have smacked 193 balls out of the park. They have amassed 688 RBI's in addition to 1,229 base knocks for the year, and their average at the plate is at .234. Milwaukee has a slugging rate of .397 and have been rung up 1,432 times, while taking a walk on 581 occasions.
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The Brewers have a team ERA of 3.39 over the course of the season (3rd in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,599 hitters. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.03 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.17. Brewers pitchers have conceded 160 home runs and 597 total runs (3rd in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 527 opposing players and their FIP is 3.65 as a squad over the course of the season.
The Brewers have dispatched 522 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 148 base runners so far this season with 35.8% of them crossed home plate. They have 44 saves over the course of the season and have blown 28 out of their 72 chances to get a save. The Brewers bullpen have recorded a save rate of 61.1% and has entered the game in 153 save situations. The bullpen have racked up 79 holds on the year (14th in baseball). Brewers bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 103 times in addition to having 188 appearances in high leverage situations.
The Milwaukee Brewers have 4,236 putouts on the year, as well as 1,310 assists and 94 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .983 which ranks 22nd in MLB, and have a total of 1,020 double plays. The Brewers have turned 70.8% of baseballs in play into outs in their 12,708 innings, ranking them 4th in the majors.
Burnes has taken the hill for 311 innings and has tallied 423 K's in his career. Burnes (23-10 career mark) has a FIP of 2.63 and he has gone up against 1,275 opposing batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.32 (115 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.101. He has given up 255 hits (7.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 88 walks.
The Dodgers hold a team SLG% of .426 and they tally 5.06 runs per contest (5th in MLB). They have hit 244 doubles, while getting a free base 603 times as well as earning 804 runs. Los Angeles has accounted for 229 home runs this season to go along with 774 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,389 instances (13th in baseball) and have earned 1,301 base knocks. The Los Angeles Dodgers have compiled an OBP of .329 as well as a team batting average of .243 this season.
The Dodgers have a team WHIP of 1.099 in addition to having a FIP of 3.57 as a pitching staff this season. They rank 1st in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,085. The Los Angeles pitching staff have conceded 549 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 2.99 (474 earned runs allowed). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 3.26 (1,566 strikeouts vs 481 walks). They have given up 160 long balls and they allow 3.47 runs per 9 innings (1st in the league).
Los Angeles relievers have an inherited score percentage of 20.7% out of their 227 inherited base runners. Their relievers have taken the field 200 times in high leverage situations and also on 164 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 195 save situations, the Dodgers have earned 111 holds and also 27 blown saves. They rank 4th in MLB holding a save rate of 66.7%, and they have sent 587 relievers onto the field on the campaign. Los Angeles has called on relievers to enter the contest in 81 save chances and they have earned 54 saves.
In 12,825 innings on the field, the Dodgers are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 72.4% (1st in pro baseball). The Los Angeles Dodgers have turned 92 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in the majors). The Dodgers have accrued 1,280 assists, 87 errors and have notched a total of 4,275 putouts this year.
Urias (31-10 career mark) has earned a 3.12 earned run average while conceding 7.7 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.33 and he has gone up against 1,724 opposing batters during his career. He has allowed 145 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.159 and having a FIP of 3.3. Thus far in his career, Urias has allowed 359 base knocks and he has 420 K's in 418 frames.
So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?
Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Milwaukee (+120) and over 7 runs
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Additional Resources:
Los Angeles Dodgers - Twitter
Milwaukee Brewers - Twitter