Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, 10/1/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Date: Friday, October 1, 2021

Location: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA

TV: Spectrum Sportsnet LA

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+190) Los Angeles (-256)

Dodger Stadium is the venue where Clayton Kershaw and the Los Angeles Dodgers (102-56, 2nd in NL West) will play the Milwaukee Brewers (95-63, 1st in NL Central) on Friday. The Dodgers open this contest at -256 while the Brewers are coming in at +190. The total has been set at 7.5. The starting pitchers are Eric Lauer and Clayton Kershaw.

As a unit, the Milwaukee Brewers are notching 4.6 runs/g, which is 11th in MLB. They have tallied 723 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .318. The Brewers have tallied 243 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 192 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 685 RBI's in addition to 1,220 base knocks on the campaign, while their team batting average is .233. Milwaukee has a slugging percentage of .397 and have struck out 1,421 times, while drawing a walk on 579 occasions.

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The Brewers hold a team earned run average of 3.38 on the campaign (3rd in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,594 hitters. They have walked 525 batters and their FIP is 3.64 as a team for the season. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.04 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.17. Brewers pitchers have conceded 158 home runs and 593 runs in total (3rd in the league).

The Brewers relievers have a save rate of 62.0% and stepped onto the hill in 152 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 148 runners for the year with 35.8% of them ended up crossing the plate. Brewers relief pitchers have entered the game with players on base 103 times and also have had 187 appearances in high leverage situations. The Brewers have dispatched 519 relievers to the mound so far this year. The relief pitchers have a total of 79 holds so far this season (14th in MLB). They have tallied 44 saves so far this season and have blown 27 out of their 71 save chances.

The Brewers have converted 70.7% of baseballs in play into outs in their 12,636 innings, which ranks them 5th in pro baseball. The Milwaukee Brewers are sitting with 4,212 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,301 assists and 94 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .983 which has them sitting 22nd in professional baseball, and have earned 1,012 double plays.

Lauer has taken the mound for 386 frames and has accumulated 364 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. Lauer (21-24 career mark) sits with a FIP of 4.26 while he has gone up against 1,683 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 4.22 (181 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.385. He has surrendered 390 hits (9.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 145 free passes.

The Dodgers hold a team slugging % of .424 and they earn 5.04 runs per contest (5th in the league). They have put up 243 two-baggers, while getting a free base 601 times as well as putting up 796 runs. Los Angeles has 224 HRs on the campaign as well as 766 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,381 occasions (13th in the league) and have earned a total of 1,290 base hits. The Los Angeles Dodgers are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .329 and a batting average of .243 on the year.

The Dodgers have a WHIP of 1.100 and have a FIP of 3.56 as a squad for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.26 (1,556 strikeouts vs 477 free passes). They have a ranking of 1st in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,080. They have allowed 158 homers and they allow 3.47 runs per 9 innings (1st in MLB). The Los Angeles pitching staff have surrendered 546 runs so far this year while having an ERA of 2.99 (471 earned runs yielded).

Los Angeles relievers have an inherited score rate of 20.8% out of their 226 inherited runners. Their relievers have taken the field 200 times in high leverage situations and on 163 occasions with runners on. With 194 save situations, the Dodgers have earned 111 holds and 27 blown saves. They are ranked 5th in baseball with a save rate of 66.7%, and they have sent 583 relievers to the hill on the campaign. Los Angeles has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 81 save opportunities and they have converted 54 saves.

Out of their 12,744 innings played, the Dodgers are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 72.4% (1st in the majors). The Los Angeles Dodgers have twisted 92 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .984 (18th in pro baseball). The Dodgers have recorded 1,272 assists, 87 errors and have earned 4,248 putouts this season.

Kershaw (185-84 career mark) is the owner of a 2.48 ERA while allowing 6.8 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.40 and he has gone up against 9,657 opposing hitters thus far in his career. He has conceded a total of 676 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.003 and having a FIP of 2.8. In his pro baseball career, Kershaw has allowed 1,854 base knocks and he has 2,669 punch outs in 2,453 innings pitched.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Milwaukee (+190) and over 7.5 runs

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