Milwaukee Brewers vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, 5/18/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Tuesday, May 18, 2021

Location: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: Bally Sports Kansas City

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-155) Kansas City (+135)

Danny Duffy and the Kansas City Royals (18-22, 3rd in AL Central) host the Milwaukee Brewers (21-20, 2nd in NL Central) at Kauffman Stadium on Tuesday. The Brewers open this matchup at -155 while the Royals are priced at +135. The over/under has been set at 7. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Brandon Woodruff and Danny Duffy.

The Brewers have accounted for 52 doubles as a squad and have hit 45 baseballs out of the stadium. Milwaukee has a slugging % of .358 and have struck out 409 times, while taking a walk on 141 occasions. As a unit, the Milwaukee Brewers are recording 3.7 runs per contest, which has them at 27th in baseball. They have accumulated 147 RBI's and 291 hits this year, and their team batting average sits at .214. They have tallied 153 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .301.

The Brewers hold a team ERA of 3.68 over the course of the season (10th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 432 hitters. They have walked 142 hitters and their FIP is 3.84 as a team over the course of the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.04 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.16. Brewers pitchers have yielded 48 long balls in addition to 169 runs in total (14th in the league).

Brewers relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 26 times and also have had 52 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have accumulated 23 holds over the course of the season (11th in the league). The Brewers relievers have earned a save percentage of 68.8% and has stepped onto the mound in 39 save situations. They have compiled 11 saves for the year and have blown 5 of their 16 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 34 runners this year and 38.2% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Brewers have dispatched 136 relievers to the mound this season.

The Brewers have transformed 71.4% of balls in play into outs out of their 3,321 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 7th in the majors. The Milwaukee Brewers have accounted for 1,107 putouts so far this season, in addition to 335 assists and 24 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .984 which has them ranked 14th in pro baseball, and they have turned 252 double plays.

Woodruff has pitched in 330 innings and has racked up 374 strikeouts so far in his career. Woodruff (21-12 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.16 and he has faced 1,330 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.35 (123 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.076. He has given up 267 base hits (7.3 hits per nine innings) with 88 walks.

Kansas City has compiled 37 home runs over the course of the season and 155 RBIs. They have put up 56 doubles, while getting a free base 127 times and scoring 164 runs. The Kansas City Royals have accounted for an OBP of .305 and a batting average of .234 for the season. The Royals hold a team slugging % of .378 and they score 4.10 runs per game (20th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 328 occasions (24th in baseball) and have accounted for 304 base hits.

The Royals have a WHIP of 1.415 and have a FIP of 4.04 as a pitching staff on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.26 (355 strikeouts against 157 walks). They are sitting at 21st in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 330. They have surrendered 39 HR's and they concede 5.07 runs per 9 innings (23rd in baseball). The Kansas City pitching staff have given up 194 runs on the year and come in with a team ERA of 4.66 (178 earned runs yielded).

Kansas City bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 27.8% out of their 72 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 41 times in high leverage situations in addition to 46 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 36 save situations, the Royals have amassed 21 holds and 6 blown saves. They are ranked 15th in the league with a save rate of 60.0%, and they have dispatched 137 relievers to the hill this year. Kansas City has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 15 save opportunities and they have converted 9 saves.

Out of their 3,099 innings on the diamond, the Royals have earned a defensive efficiency of 67.4% (28th in MLB). The Kansas City Royals have turned 34 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .982 (21st in professional baseball). The Royals have 319 assists, 25 errors and have 1,033 putouts this year.

Duffy (68-68 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 3.95 earned run average and has conceded 8.5 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.44 and he has faced 4,892 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 506 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.315 and having a FIP of 4.2. In his career, Duffy has allowed 1,094 base knocks while he has totaled 1,031 strikeouts in 1,153 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Kansas City (+135)

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