Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/17/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Saturday, July 17, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+110) Cincinnati (-141)

Adrian Houser and the Milwaukee Brewers (53-39, 1st in NL Central) head to Great American Ball Park on Saturday where they'll take on the Cincinnati Reds (48-42, 2nd in NL Central). The Brewers open this game at +110 while the Reds are priced at -141. The O/U has been set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Adrian Houser and Luis Castillo.

Milwaukee has a slugging % of .380 and have been rung up 891 times, while being walked on 351 occasions. They have amassed 375 RBI's as well as 659 hits on the campaign, while their batting average comes in at .220. The Brewers have hit 132 doubles as a unit and have hit 109 baseballs out of the stadium. They have racked up 394 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .312. As a unit, the Milwaukee Brewers are notching 4.3 runs per contest, which is 17th in baseball.

The Brewers are sitting with a team ERA of 3.44 on the year (6th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 935 batters. Their K/BB ratio is 2.90 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.18. Brewers pitchers have allowed 96 long balls in addition to 348 runs in total (6th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 322 batters and their FIP sits at 3.75 as a unit on the season.

The Brewers have sent 292 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 76 runners so far this season with 35.5% of them earned a run for their team. They have compiled 25 saves on the campaign and have blown 16 out of their 41 chances to save the game. The Brewers relievers have recorded a save rate of 61.0% and has entered the game in 86 save situations. The bullpen have notched 44 holds on the campaign (13th in the league). Brewers bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 58 times as well as having 112 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Milwaukee Brewers have notched a total of 2,454 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 754 assists and 52 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .984 which has them ranked 14th in pro baseball, and they have twisted 560 double plays. The Brewers have converted 71.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 7,362 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 4th in pro baseball.

Houser (12-18 career mark) holds a FIP of 4.31 while facing 1,146 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 260 base hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings) with 105 walks. His ERA is 4.00 (120 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.354. Houser has taken the hill for 269 innings and has earned 240 punch outs so far in his career.

The Reds hold a team slugging % of .415 and they average 4.83 runs per contest (9th in baseball). They have tallied 151 doubles, while taking a walk 308 times and putting up 435 runs. Cincinnati has hit 113 home runs on the campaign to go along with 415 RBIs. They have been rung up on 798 occasions (14th in MLB) and have 752 hits. The Cincinnati Reds have accounted for an OBP of .330 in addition to a team batting average of .249 on the campaign.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have allowed 427 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 4.39 (389 earned runs relinquished). They have conceded 109 homers and they allow 4.81 runs per 9 innings (21st in the league). The Reds hold a team WHIP of 1.366 in addition to having a FIP of 4.30 as a team for the year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.34 (866 strikeouts vs 370 walks). They are currently ranked 17th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 720.

Cincinnati has called on relief pitchers to take the mound in 42 save chances and they have recorded 26 saves. They are ranked 15th in the league with a save rate of 61.9%, and they have sent 324 relievers to the mound so far this year. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 106 times in high leverage situations and on 100 occasions with runners on. Cincinnati relievers hold an inherited score rate of 40.1% of 147 inherited runners. With 82 save situations, the Reds have recorded 38 holds in addition to 16 blown saves.

In their 7,188 innings on the field, the Reds hold a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (20th in professional baseball). The Cincinnati Reds have turned 58 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .983 (20th in MLB). The Reds have accrued 785 assists, 55 errors and have a total of 2,396 putouts so far this season.

During his MLB career, Castillo has allowed 523 hits while he has tallied 674 strikeouts in 622 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 262 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.208 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.94 and he has gone up against 2,589 batters thus far in his career. Castillo (35-43 mark in his career) holds a 3.79 earned run average while giving up 7.6 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Milwaukee (+110)

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