Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 5/21/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Friday, May 21, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-119) Cincinnati (-101)

Jeff Hoffman and the Cincinnati Reds (19-22, 4th in NL Central) host the Milwaukee Brewers (21-22, 3rd in NL Central) at Great American Ball Park on Friday. The Reds open this game at -101 while the Brewers are coming in at -119. The over/under has been set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Adrian Houser and Jeff Hoffman.

As a squad, the Milwaukee Brewers are putting up 3.6 runs per game, which has them at 27th in MLB. They have earned a total of 153 runs while having a team OBP of .299. The Brewers have accrued 52 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 45 baseballs out of the park. They have accounted for 147 RBI's in addition to 294 base knocks for the season, while their average at the plate comes in at .212. Milwaukee is slugging .353 and have been rung up 416 times, while taking a walk on 143 occasions.

Brewers pitchers have given up 48 home runs and also 171 runs (13th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 144 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.82 as a squad on the campaign. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.03 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.16. The Brewers have an earned run average of 3.63 on the season (8th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 437 hitters.

Brewers relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 27 times as well as having 53 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have earned 23 holds over the course of the season (11th in MLB). The Brewers relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 68.8% and stepped onto the hill in 39 save situations. They have earned 11 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 5 of their 16 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 36 base runners over the course of the season and 41.7% of them ended up scoring. The Brewers have sent 137 relievers to the mound over the course of the season.

The Milwaukee Brewers have notched a total of 1,131 putouts this season, as well as 345 assists and 27 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .982 which ranks 22nd in baseball, and they have twisted 256 double plays. The Brewers have turned 71.4% of balls in play into outs in their 3,393 innings on the field, which has them ranked 7th in the majors.

Houser has thrown 222 frames and has accounted for 203 punch outs in his MLB career. Houser (10-17 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 4.21 while going up against 940 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.04 (100 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.334. He has surrendered 214 hits (8.6 hits per nine innings) and has 83 free passes.

The Cincinnati Reds have compiled a team OBP of .328 and a team batting average of .252 on the campaign. They have been rung up on 354 occasions (18th in baseball) and have 347 base hits. Cincinnati has compiled 58 home runs so far this year as well as 198 runs batted in. The Reds hold a slugging percentage of .431 and they score 5.25 runs per contest (3rd in MLB). They have recorded 64 two-baggers, while taking a walk 133 times as well as putting up 210 runs.

The Reds are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.382 with a FIP of 4.40 as a pitching staff so far this year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.27 (395 strikeouts vs 174 walks). They rank 16th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 322. They have surrendered 52 home runs and they give up 5.34 runs per 9 innings (26th in baseball). The Cincinnati pitching staff have allowed 213 runs this season while having a team ERA of 4.81 (192 earned runs conceded).

Cincinnati has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 14 save opportunities and they have come away with 7 saves. They are currently ranked 24th in baseball holding a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 144 relief pitchers onto the field over the course of the season. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 40 times in high leverage situations and on 46 occasions with runners on. Cincinnati bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 41.3% out of their 63 inherited runners. Sitting with 24 save situations, the Reds have 10 holds in addition to 7 blown saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have turned 27 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .980 (26th in MLB). The Reds have accrued 358 assists, 29 errors and have notched a total of 1,077 putouts on the season. In their 3,231 innings on the diamond, the Reds hold a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (21st in professional baseball).

So far in his MLB career, Hoffman has surrendered 301 base hits and he has 229 K's in 265 innings. Hoffman (12-19 career win-loss record) has a 6.17 earned run average and has surrendered 10.2 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered a total of 182 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.606 and having a FIP of 5.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.83 and he has gone up against 1,206 batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-119)

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