Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 7/31/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Saturday, July 31, 2021

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-161) Atlanta (+125)

Truist Park is the venue where Kyle Muller and the Atlanta Braves (51-52, 3rd in NL East) will take on the Milwaukee Brewers (61-42, 1st in NL Central) on Saturday. The Braves open this contest at +125 while the Brewers are coming in at -161. The total has been set at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Brandon Woodruff and Kyle Muller.

Milwaukee has a slugging percentage of .389 and have struck out 996 times, while taking a walk on 392 occasions. They have accumulated 445 RBI's and 773 base knocks on the year, while their average at the plate is sitting at .227. The Brewers have compiled 152 doubles as a team and have hit 124 baseballs out of the stadium. They have a total of 467 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .317. As a squad, the Milwaukee Brewers are notching 4.5 runs per game, which ranks them 13th in MLB.

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The Brewers are sitting with a team ERA of 3.29 this season (2nd in the league), and they have rung up 1,032 batters. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.92 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.16. Brewers pitchers have conceded 104 home runs and 377 total runs (2nd in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 354 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.70 as a team over the course of the season.

The Brewers relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 56.8% and has entered the game in 93 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 79 base runners for the season with 34.2% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Brewers bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 60 times in addition to having 120 appearances in high leverage situations. The Brewers have sent 326 relief pitchers to the mound this season. The relief pitchers have a total of 48 holds for the season (16th in baseball). They have compiled 25 saves for the season and have blown 19 of 44 save opportunities.

The Brewers have turned 71.7% of balls in play into outs in their 8,271 innings, which has them sitting 3rd in MLB. The Milwaukee Brewers are sitting with 2,757 putouts this year, in addition to 861 assists and 58 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .984 which puts them in 16th in baseball, and have 642 double plays.

Woodruff has taken the ball for 406 frames and has earned 459 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.19 (144 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.045. He has allowed 318 hits (7.0 hits per 9 innings) and has had 107 free passes. Woodruff (26-16 record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.09 while going up against 1,627 batters in the majors.

Atlanta has 145 home runs this year to go along with 470 RBIs. They have put up 176 two-baggers, while getting a free base 366 times as well as recording 489 runs. The Atlanta Braves hold an on-base percentage of .321 in addition to a team batting average of .241 for the year. The Braves have a slugging percentage of .428 and they are recording 4.75 runs per game (11th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 946 instances (8th in the league) and have tallied 816 base knocks.

The Atlanta pitching staff have conceded 442 runs so far this season while having an ERA of 4.08 (404 earned runs allowed). They have surrendered 115 dingers and they allow 4.46 runs per 9 innings (13th in baseball). The Braves have a WHIP of 1.306 in addition to having a FIP of 4.10 as a unit for the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 2.64 (908 strikeouts vs 344 free passes). They are currently ranked 15th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 820.

Atlanta relievers hold an inherited score rate of 36.6% out of their 134 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 142 times in high leverage situations and on 88 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 103 save situations, the Braves have 65 holds in addition to 15 blown saves. They rank 16th in the league holding a save percentage of 59.5%, and they have sent 365 relievers to the hill this season. Atlanta has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 37 save opportunities and they have walked away with 22 saves.

In 8,019 innings played, the Braves hold a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (18th in professional baseball). The Atlanta Braves have turned 62 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .987 (4th in MLB). The Braves have accrued 914 assists, 47 errors and are sitting with 2,673 putouts so far this season.

Muller (2-3 career record) has earned a 2.55 earned run average and has conceded 5.5 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.00 and he has gone up against 101 batters in his pro baseball career. He has allowed 7 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.135 and having a FIP of 3.2. So far in his MLB career, Muller has allowed 15 base hits and he has 26 punch outs in 24 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (+125)

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