Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 10/12/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves
Date: Tuesday, October 12, 2021
Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA
TV: TBS
Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-109) Atlanta (-101)
Huascar Ynoa and the Atlanta Braves (88-73, 1st in NL East) play the Milwaukee Brewers (95-67, 1st in NL Central) at Truist Park on Tuesday in Game 4 of the NLDS. The Braves open this contest at -101 while the Brewers are priced at -109. The over/under has been set at 7.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Eric Lauer and Huascar Ynoa.
As a unit, the Milwaukee Brewers are scoring 4.6 runs/g, which puts them at 12th in MLB. They have 738 runs while having a team OBP of .317. The Brewers have accounted for 255 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 194 baseballs out of the stadium. They have tallied 700 RBI's as well as 1,251 hits so far this season, and their team batting average is sitting at .233. Milwaukee is slugging .396 and have been rung up 1,465 times, while drawing a walk on 586 occasions.
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Brewers pitchers have given up 168 home runs and 623 total runs (3rd in MLB). They have walked 537 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.72 as a squad so far this year. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.01 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.18. The Brewers have an ERA of 3.50 over the course of the season (3rd in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,618 batters.
The Brewers relievers have compiled a save rate of 60.3% and stepped onto the hill in 155 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 152 base runners for the season and 35.5% of those players earned a run for their team. Brewers pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 105 times as well as having 188 appearances in high leverage situations. The Brewers have dispatched 533 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. The relief pitchers have tallied 80 holds so far this season (14th in the league). They have compiled 44 saves so far this season and have blown 29 of their 73 chances to save the game.
The Milwaukee Brewers have notched a total of 4,308 putouts on the year, in addition to 1,331 assists and 94 errors. Their fielding rate is at .984 which puts them in 22nd in professional baseball, and have accumulated 1,041 double plays. The Brewers have converted 70.8% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,924 innings on the field, which has them ranked 4th in baseball.
Lauer (21-24 career record) has earned a FIP of 4.31 and he has gone up against 1,705 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. He has given up 396 base knocks (9.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 147 free passes. His earned run average is 4.28 (186 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.388. Lauer has taken the mound for 391 innings and has tallied 367 strikeouts during his MLB career.
The Braves have a SLG% of .435 and they earn 4.91 runs per contest (7th in the league). They have 269 doubles, while getting a free base 549 times as well as notching 790 runs. Atlanta is sitting with 239 HRs on the year as well as 762 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 1,453 occasions (11th in the league) and have notched a total of 1,307 hits. The Atlanta Braves have earned an on-base percentage of .319 and a team batting average of .244 on the campaign.
The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.242 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.09 as a team this year. They come in at 7th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 1,236. The Atlanta pitching staff have allowed 656 runs so far this season while holding a team ERA of 3.88 (608 earned runs yielded). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 2.75 (1,417 strikeouts against 516 walks). They have allowed 183 long balls and they surrender 4.19 runs per 9 innings (7th in MLB).
Sitting with 180 save situations, the Braves have earned 113 holds in addition to 26 blown saves. Atlanta has had relievers take the mound in 66 save chances and they have come away with 40 saves. Their relievers have come in 221 times in high leverage situations and also on 129 occasions with base runners. Atlanta relievers have an inherited score rate of 33.0% out of 185 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 17th in baseball with a save rate of 60.6%, and they have sent 581 bullpen pitchers to the hill for the season.
The Atlanta Braves have turned 104 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (3rd in the majors). The Braves have accrued 1,483 assists, 72 errors and have a tally of 4,232 putouts this season. In their 12,696 innings on the field, the Braves hold a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (5th in MLB).
Ynoa (4-6 career mark) has a 4.75 ERA while giving up 8.2 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.08 and he has faced 488 batters so far in his career. He has given up a total of 61 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.245 and having a FIP of 4.2. So far in his MLB career, Ynoa has surrendered 105 base knocks while tallying 120 K's in 115 frames.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-109)
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Additional Resources:
Atlanta Braves - Twitter
Milwaukee Brewers - Twitter