Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 9/26/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Sunday, September 26, 2021

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+215) Tampa Bay (-312)

Tropicana Field is the venue where Shane Baz and the Tampa Bay Rays (95-59, 1st in AL East) will take on the Miami Marlins (64-89, 4th in NL East) on Sunday. The Marlins open this contest at +215 while the Rays are priced at -312. The total has been set at 8. The starting pitchers will be Jesus Luzardo and Shane Baz.

Miami has a slugging percentage of .375 and have been called out on strikes 1,472 times, while taking a walk on 426 occasions. They have accumulated 574 RBI's and 1,184 hits on the campaign, while their team batting average is .233. The Marlins have compiled 219 doubles as a team and have smacked 151 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 601 runs scored and have an OBP of .299. As a team, the Miami Marlins are notching 3.9 runs per game, which is 27th in baseball.

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Marlins pitchers have given up 152 home runs and also 660 runs in total (14th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 507 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.03 as a team on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.55 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.28. The Marlins hold a team earned run average of 3.93 on the season (11th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,292 batters.

The Marlins have dispatched 561 relievers to the mound for the year. The relievers have inherited 196 runners so far this season and 36.7% of them ended up crossing the plate. They have recorded 30 saves on the season and have blown 25 of 55 chances to save the game. The Marlins relievers have compiled a save rate of 54.5% and has entered the game in 122 save situations. The relief pitchers have notched 67 holds for the year (24th in baseball). Marlins relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 126 times and also have had 177 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Marlins have converted 69.1% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,066 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 20th in baseball. The Miami Marlins have earned 4,022 putouts on the year, in addition to 1,373 assists and 114 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .979 which is 30th in MLB, and have earned 1,047 double plays.

Luzardo has pitched in 157 innings and has racked up 157 strikeouts so far in his career. His ERA is 5.50 (96 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.446. He has allowed 161 base hits (9.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 66 walks. Luzardo (8-10 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 5.08 while he has faced 693 opposing batters in the major leagues.

The Tampa Bay Rays hold a team OBP of .321 and a batting average of .241 on the campaign. They have struck out on 1,468 instances (3rd in the league) and have a total of 1,264 hits. Tampa Bay is sitting with 210 home runs so far this year as well as 772 runs batted in. The Rays hold a slugging % of .425 and they have an average of 5.32 runs per contest (2nd in baseball). They have hit 272 two-baggers, while walking 559 times as well as putting up 819 runs.

The Rays have a WHIP of 1.177 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.82 as a unit this season. They have a ranking of 14th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,212. The Tampa Bay pitching staff have given up 633 runs for the season while having a team ERA of 3.73 (575 earned runs given up). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.36 (1,412 strikeouts against 420 free passes). They have surrendered 178 homers and they concede 4.11 runs per 9 innings (5th in the league).

Tampa Bay has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 60 save opportunities and they have walked away with 40 saves. They are ranked 5th in the league with a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have sent 501 relievers to the mound this season. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 170 times in high leverage situations and on 119 occasions with runners on base. Tampa Bay bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.1% out of their 153 inherited runners. With 147 save situations, the Rays have accumulated 84 holds and also 20 blown saves.

Out of their 12,474 innings played, the Rays have a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (7th in professional baseball). The Tampa Bay Rays have twisted 125 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (11th in pro baseball). The Rays have accrued 1,297 assists, 79 errors and have amassed 4,158 putouts on the campaign.

In his career, Baz has surrendered 2 base knocks while earning 5 punch outs in 5 frames. Baz (1-0 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a 3.60 ERA while conceding 3.6 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 2 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 0.400 and being the owner of a FIP of 6.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 0.00 and he has faced 17 opposing batters in his career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-312)

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