Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 9/25/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Saturday, September 25, 2021

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+215) Tampa Bay (-265)

Shane McClanahan and the Tampa Bay Rays (94-59, 1st in AL East) play the Miami Marlins (64-88, 4th in NL East) at Tropicana Field on Saturday. The Rays open this contest at -265 while the Marlins are coming in at +215. The O/U has been set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Sandy Alcantara and Shane McClanahan.

The Marlins have recorded 218 doubles as a team and have hit 151 balls out of the park. Miami is slugging .376 and have been rung up 1,465 times, while taking a walk on 425 occasions. As a unit, the Miami Marlins are putting up 4.0 runs per game, which has them sitting at 27th in MLB. They have 574 runs batted in in addition to 1,182 hits so far this year, and their team batting average comes in at .234. They have earned a total of 601 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .300.

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The Marlins have a team earned run average of 3.90 on the year (9th in baseball), and they have rung up 1,280 hitters. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.55 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.28. Marlins pitchers have surrendered 152 long balls in addition to 652 total runs (14th in the league). They have walked 501 batters and their FIP sits at 4.04 as a team over the course of the season.

The Marlins have sent 557 relievers to the mound this season. The relievers have inherited 196 runners this year with 36.7% of those players ended up scoring. They have earned 30 saves on the year and have blown 25 out of their 55 save chances. The Marlins relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 54.5% and has come into the game in 122 save situations. The relievers have a total of 67 holds this season (23rd in MLB). Marlins bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 126 times in addition to having 177 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Marlins have converted 69.2% of balls in play into outs in their 11,994 innings on the field, which has them sitting 20th in the majors. The Miami Marlins have a total of 3,998 putouts on the year, as well as 1,372 assists and 114 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .979 which has them sitting 30th in pro baseball, and have a total of 1,039 double plays.

Alcantara has pitched in 476 innings and has earned 419 strikeouts during his career. Alcantara (20-32 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 4.03 while he has faced 1,981 batters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 3.44 (182 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.216. He has allowed 405 hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) and has 174 free passes.

Tampa Bay has a total of 210 HRs so far this season as well as 764 runs batted in. They have 268 doubles, while taking a walk 553 times and notching 811 runs. The Tampa Bay Rays have recorded an OBP of .320 in addition to a team batting average of .241 so far this year. The Rays hold a team SLG% of .425 and they score 5.30 runs per game (2nd in the league). They have been rung up on 1,456 instances (3rd in the league) and have notched a total of 1,253 hits.

The Rays hold a team WHIP of 1.183 in addition to having a FIP of 3.83 as a staff for the year. They rank 14th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,210. The Tampa Bay pitching staff have surrendered 633 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.76 (575 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio sits at 3.35 (1,405 strikeouts vs 419 bases on balls). They have relinquished 178 long balls and they relinquish 4.14 runs per 9 innings (6th in baseball).

With 147 save situations, the Rays have 84 holds and 20 blown saves. Tampa Bay has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 60 save chances and they have come away with 40 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 170 times in high leverage situations and on 119 occasions with base runners. Tampa Bay relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 28.1% out of 153 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 4th in baseball with a save rate of 66.7%, and they have sent 499 relief pitchers onto the field over the course of the season.

The Tampa Bay Rays have turned 124 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (11th in pro baseball). The Rays have 1,288 assists, 79 errors and have a tally of 4,131 putouts this year. Out of their 12,393 innings on the field, the Rays hold a efficiency on defense of 70.2% (8th in professional baseball).

In his MLB career, McClanahan has given up 111 base hits while he has tallied 135 punch outs in 115 innings pitched. McClanahan (9-6 career mark) has a 3.51 earned run average and has given up 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 45 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.275 and a FIP of 3.3. His K/BB ratio is 3.75 and he has gone up against 484 hitters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-265)

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