Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 7/17/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Saturday, July 17, 2021

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+120) Philadelphia (-152)

Vince Velasquez and the Philadelphia Phillies (44-44, 2nd in NL East) play the Miami Marlins (39-50, 5th in NL East) at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday. The odds on this contest have the Marlins coming in at +120 and the Phillies are at -152. The over/under is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Zach Thompson and Vince Velasquez.

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Miami has a slugging rate of .372 and have been called out on strikes 866 times, while taking a walk on 267 occasions. They have amassed 334 RBI's and 691 hits so far this year, while their team batting average is .233. The Marlins have tallied 119 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 88 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 353 runs and have an OBP of .302. As a squad, the Miami Marlins are putting up 4.0 runs per game, which puts them at 28th in baseball.

Marlins pitchers have yielded 72 long balls and 336 runs in total (4th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 272 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.58 as a squad for the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.86 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.19. The Marlins have an earned run average of 3.43 this year (5th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 779 batters.

Marlins pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 60 times and also have had 102 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have 43 holds for the season (15th in the league). The Marlins bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 47.1% and has stepped onto the mound in 77 save situations. They have recorded 16 saves on the year and have blown 18 of their 34 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 87 base runners on the year and 36.8% of them earned a run for their team. The Marlins have dispatched 321 relievers to the mound this season.

The Marlins have converted 69.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 7,059 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 13th in professional baseball. The Miami Marlins have a tally of 2,353 putouts this year, as well as 781 assists and 61 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .981 which ranks 27th in baseball, and have accumulated 608 double plays.

Thompson (2-2 record in his career) has a FIP of 2.25 while facing 97 batters in the major leagues. He has given up 17 base hits (6.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 7 free passes. His earned run average is 2.25 (6 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.000. Thompson has taken the mound for 24 innings and has racked up 31 K's so far in his career.

The Phillies have a team slugging percentage of .400 and they tally 4.57 runs per contest (13th in baseball). They have put up 140 two-baggers, while getting a free base 297 times and earning 402 runs. Philadelphia has accumulated 102 home runs for the year to go along with 384 RBIs. They have struck out on 826 occasions (10th in MLB) and have earned a total of 704 hits. The Philadelphia Phillies have a team OBP of .316 as well as a batting average of .240 on the year.

The Phillies have a WHIP of 1.301 with a FIP of 4.17 as a team on the season. They are currently ranked 19th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 731. The Philadelphia pitching staff have allowed 411 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 4.39 (375 earned runs yielded). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.00 (809 strikeouts vs 270 walks). They have surrendered 112 homers and they yield 4.81 runs per 9 innings (20th in the league).

Philadelphia relievers have an inherited score percentage of 44.0% out of 116 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 100 times in high leverage situations and on 78 occasions with runners on. With 82 save situations, the Phillies have 37 holds in addition to 22 blown saves. They are ranked 28th in baseball with a save percentage of 47.6%, and they have sent 277 relievers to the mound this season. Philadelphia has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 42 save chances and they have walked away with 20 saves.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 81 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (17th in pro baseball). The Phillies have 778 assists, 52 errors and have amassed 2,309 putouts on the campaign. Out of their 6,927 innings on the diamond, the Phillies are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.2% (24th in pro baseball).

Velasquez (31-39 record in his career) has a 4.79 earned run average and has conceded 8.7 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.67 and he has gone up against 2,712 opposing hitters during his MLB career. He has conceded a total of 335 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.383 and having a FIP of 4.5. During his pro baseball career, Velasquez has surrendered 611 hits and he has 692 punch outs in 629 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-152)

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