Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 7/1/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Thursday, July 1, 2021

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+105) Philadelphia (-132)

Citizens Bank Park is the venue where Zach Eflin and the Philadelphia Phillies (37-40, 3rd in NL East) will play the Miami Marlins (33-45, 5th in NL East) on Thursday. The Phillies open this matchup at -132 while the Marlins are priced at +105. The O/U opens at 7. The starting pitchers will be Pablo Lopez and Zach Eflin.

As a unit, the Miami Marlins are earning 3.9 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 27th in baseball. They have notched a total of 304 runs scored and hold an OBP of .299. The Marlins have hit 108 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 74 balls out of the stadium. They have compiled 288 runs batted in and 593 base knocks on the year, and their average at the plate comes in at .230. Miami has a slugging % of .368 and have struck out 747 times, while being walked on 230 occasions.

The Marlins are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.38 so far this year (5th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 669 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.92 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.17. Marlins pitchers have allowed 61 home runs in addition to 288 runs in total (2nd in the league). They have walked 229 batters and their FIP is 3.53 as a squad for the season.

The Marlins relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 46.7% and has come into the game in 65 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 71 runners so far this season with 35.2% of those runners crossed the plate. Marlins bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 50 times as well as having 85 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have dispatched 276 relief pitchers to the mound this year. The relievers have a total of 35 holds this season (17th in MLB). They have compiled 14 saves on the campaign and have blown 16 out of their 30 save chances.

The Marlins have turned 70.2% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 6,162 innings, which ranks them 13th in pro baseball. The Miami Marlins are sitting with 2,054 putouts this season, as well as 698 assists and 51 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .982 which is 26th in baseball, and have accumulated 533 double plays.

Lopez has thrown 318 innings and has accumulated 294 punch outs in his career. Lopez (17-20 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.81 while he has faced 1,320 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 4.01 (142 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.187. He has given up 293 base knocks (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 85 walks.

The Phillies hold a team SLG% of .385 and they score 4.25 runs per game (16th in baseball). They have tallied 120 doubles, while walking 252 times and racking up 327 runs. Philadelphia is sitting with 80 home runs so far this year as well as 314 RBIs. They have struck out on 736 instances (8th in baseball) and are sitting with 606 base hits. The Philadelphia Phillies are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .312 in addition to a team batting average of .238 on the season.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have relinquished 346 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 4.20 (313 earned runs yielded). They have surrendered 96 long balls and they concede 4.64 runs per 9 innings (18th in the league). The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.278 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.12 as a staff on the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.00 (711 strikeouts vs 237 bases on balls). They sit at 17th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 621.

Philadelphia has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 39 save chances and they have tallied 18 saves. They are ranked 29th in the league holding a save percentage of 46.2%, and they have sent 238 relievers to the mound on the year. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 93 times in high leverage situations in addition to 68 occasions with runners on base. Philadelphia relievers have an inherited score rate of 41.2% out of 102 inherited runners. Sitting with 72 save situations, the Phillies have accumulated 31 holds and 21 blown saves.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 71 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .983 (22nd in baseball). The Phillies have accrued 671 assists, 47 errors and have 2,015 putouts over the course of the season. In their 6,045 innings played, the Phillies have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.6% (23rd in professional baseball).

Eflin (31-39 win-loss mark in his career) has a 4.56 earned run average while giving up 9.7 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.39 and he has gone up against 2,427 opposing batters in his career. He has given up 288 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.320 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.5. So far in his career, Eflin has surrendered 610 hits while accumulating 475 strikeouts in 568 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (+105)

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