Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 5/20/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Thursday, May 20, 2021

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+105) Philadelphia (-132)

Vince Velasquez and the Philadelphia Phillies (22-20, 2nd in NL East) play the Miami Marlins (18-23, 4th in NL East) at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday. The Phillies open this game at -132 while the Marlins are priced at +105. The over/under is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Sandy Alcantara and Vince Velasquez.

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As a team, the Miami Marlins are earning 3.9 runs per game, which is 23rd in MLB. They have racked up 161 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .294. The Marlins have hit 59 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 38 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 154 runs batted in in addition to 311 hits so far this season, while their batting average sits at .228. Miami owns a slugging percentage of .367 and have struck out 407 times, while taking a walk on 112 occasions.

The Marlins are sitting with a team ERA of 3.67 on the campaign (9th in the league), and their staff has struck out 352 batters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.86 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.21. Marlins pitchers have conceded 36 home runs in addition to 161 runs in total (9th in baseball). They have walked 123 hitters and their FIP sits at 3.70 as a team on the season.

Marlins relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 29 times as well as having 53 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 17 holds this season (23rd in the league). The Marlins bullpen have a save rate of 38.9% and has come into the game in 35 save situations. They have accumulated 7 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 11 of 18 save chances. The relievers have inherited 49 runners over the course of the season and 40.8% of those players ended up scoring. The Marlins have dispatched 154 relievers to the hill on the campaign.

The Marlins have converted 69.7% of balls hit into play into outs in their 3,246 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 14th in the majors. The Miami Marlins have a tally of 1,082 putouts thus far, as well as 348 assists and 25 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .983 which ranks 18th in pro baseball, and have 278 double plays.

Alcantara has taken the mound for 332 innings and is sitting with 281 K's so far in his pro baseball career. Alcantara (12-22 career mark) sits with a FIP of 4.39 and he has gone up against 1,406 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 3.76 (139 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.299. He has given up 291 hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) with 141 free passes.

Philadelphia has tallied 44 home runs so far this season and 169 RBIs. They have put up 60 doubles, while walking 137 times as well as putting up 178 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have earned an OBP of .314 as well as a batting average of .241 so far this season. The Phillies hold a team SLG% of .387 and they are scoring 4.24 runs per contest (17th in baseball). They have been rung up on 424 instances (4th in baseball) and have totaled 335 hits.

The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.266 with a FIP of 4.09 as a staff so far this season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.23 (384 strikeouts vs 119 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 23rd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 347. They have surrendered 54 homers and they surrender 4.40 runs per 9 innings (15th in baseball). The Philadelphia pitching staff have surrendered 180 runs on the season while having an ERA of 4.16 (170 earned runs yielded).

Philadelphia has called on relievers to enter the game in 20 save opportunities and they have tallied 11 saves. They are currently ranked 22nd in baseball holding a save rate of 55.0%, and they have dispatched 128 relievers to the mound for the year. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 60 times in high leverage situations in addition to 37 occasions with runners on. Philadelphia bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 49.1% out of 53 inherited base runners. Sitting with 41 save situations, the Phillies have amassed 20 holds and 9 blown saves.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 37 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (8th in MLB). The Phillies have accrued 368 assists, 22 errors and have amassed 1,104 putouts for the year. In 3,312 innings on the diamond, the Phillies have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.7% (22nd in pro baseball).

Velasquez (29-35 career win-loss record) has a 4.67 ERA while allowing 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.74 and he has gone up against 2,525 hitters during his pro baseball career. He has surrendered a total of 304 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.377 and a FIP of 4.4. During his MLB career, Velasquez has surrendered 569 hits and he has 652 punch outs in 586 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-132)

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