Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/28/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday, September 28, 2021

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+135) New York (-182)

Citi Field is the venue where Marcus Stroman and the New York Mets (73-82, 3rd in NL East) will take on the Miami Marlins (64-91, 4th in NL East) on Tuesday. The line on this contest has the Marlins priced at +135 and the Mets are at -182. The O/U has been set at 6. The expected starting pitchers will be Trevor Rogers and Marcus Stroman.

The Marlins have accounted for 223 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 153 balls out of the stadium. Miami is slugging .375 and have been called out on strikes 1,489 times, while taking a walk on 430 occasions. As a team, the Miami Marlins are notching 3.9 runs per outing, which has them at 27th in MLB. They have tallied 579 RBI's in addition to 1,203 base knocks this year, while their average at the plate comes in at .234. They have a total of 606 runs scored and hold an OBP of .299.

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The Marlins are sitting with a team ERA of 3.94 this season (11th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,309 batters. They have walked 511 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.01 as a unit so far this season. Their K/BB ratio is 2.56 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.28. Marlins pitchers have given up 153 home runs and also 670 runs in total (13th in the league).

The Marlins relievers have earned a save percentage of 54.5% and has come into the game in 122 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 197 runners on the year and 36.5% of those runners ended up scoring. Marlins bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 127 times as well as having 177 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have sent 567 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season. The bullpen have a total of 67 holds this season (24th in the league). They have recorded 30 saves this season and have blown 25 out of their 55 chances to get a save.

The Marlins have converted 69.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,210 innings, which has them ranked 21st in pro baseball. The Miami Marlins have a tally of 4,070 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,387 assists and 117 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .979 which ranks 30th in pro baseball, and they have twisted 1,059 double plays.

Rogers has taken the mound for 156 innings and has earned 190 K's so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.29 (57 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.250. He has surrendered 136 hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) with 59 walks. Rogers (8-10 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 2.92 and he has faced 663 opposing hitters in the majors.

The New York Mets have compiled an OBP of .314 and a team batting average of .238 for the year. They have been called out on strikes on 1,335 occasions (21st in MLB) and have totaled 1,188 hits. New York has tallied 168 HRs on the year as well as 575 RBIs. The Mets have a team slugging % of .388 and they have an average of 3.91 runs per game (28th in baseball). They have tallied 216 doubles, while taking a walk 475 times and earning 606 runs.

The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.237 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.04 as a staff for the year. They rank 4th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,176. The New York pitching staff have allowed 645 runs on the year and come in with a team ERA of 3.92 (575 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 3.04 (1,387 strikeouts vs 457 walks). They have yielded 182 homers and they relinquish 4.40 runs per 9 innings (13th in the league).

Sitting with 139 save situations, the Mets have recorded 70 holds and 28 blown saves. New York has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 67 save opportunities and they have earned 39 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 167 times in high leverage situations and also on 129 occasions with runners on. New York relievers hold an inherited score rate of 33.5% of 191 inherited runners. They are ranked 21st in baseball with a save rate of 58.2%, and they have dispatched 520 bullpen pitchers onto the field on the year.

The New York Mets have turned 117 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .982 (24th in MLB). The Mets have racked up 1,253 assists, 93 errors and have accumulated 3,961 putouts on the season. In their 11,883 innings on the diamond, the Mets are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (17th in baseball).

So far in his MLB career, Stroman has allowed 1,009 hits while totaling 849 strikeouts in 1,023 innings. He has conceded 413 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.265 and having a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.97 and he has gone up against 4,259 hitters so far in his MLB career. Stroman (60-60 record in his career) is the owner of a 3.63 earned run average and has surrendered 8.9 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-182)

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