Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction, 4/8/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets

Date: Thursday, April 8, 2021

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+149) New York (-159)

Taijuan Walker and the New York Mets (1-1, 3rd in NL East) host the Miami Marlins (1-4, 4th in NL East) at Citi Field on Thursday. The Marlins open this matchup at +149 while the Mets are priced at -159. The O/U has been set at 9.5. The expected starting pitchers are Nick Neidert and Taijuan Walker.

The Marlins have earned 8 doubles as a team and have knocked 2 baseballs out of the stadium. Miami has a slugging % of .348 and have been rung up 42 times, while taking a walk on 16 occasions. As a team, the Miami Marlins are recording 3.8 runs per contest, which is 20th in MLB. They have amassed 16 runs batted in in addition to 39 hits on the year, while their batting average is sitting at .238. They have notched a total of 19 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .310.

The Marlins have an earned run average of 3.80 over the course of the season (13th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 51 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 15 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.08 as a squad on the campaign. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.40 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.07. Marlins pitchers have allowed 7 long balls in addition to 22 total runs (15th in MLB).

The Marlins bullpen have come into the game in 4 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 4 base runners for the year and 50.0% of them ended up crossing the plate. Marlins pitchers have entered the contest with runners on in 2 outings and also 5 contests with high leverage. The Marlins have sent 21 relievers to the hill on the season. The relief pitchers have tallied 2 holds this season (17th in the league). 

Neidert (0-0 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 4.51 and he has faced 34 hitters in the major leagues. He has given up 10 base hits (10.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 2 free passes. His earned run average is 5.40 (5 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.440. Neidert has taken the ball for 8 innings and has racked up 4 punch outs in his MLB career.

New York has accumulated 2 home runs on the season as well as 10 RBIs. They have recorded 2 doubles, while taking a walk 12 times as well as putting up 11 runs. The New York Mets have compiled an on-base percentage of .346 and a batting average of .224 this year. The Mets hold a team slugging % of .343 and they earn 5.50 runs per contest (11th in MLB). They have been rung up on 18 occasions (29th in the league) and are sitting with 15 base knocks.

The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.353 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.55 as a squad this season. They rank 29th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 17. The New York pitching staff have yielded 9 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 2.65 (5 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.67 (16 strikeouts against 6 free passes). They have conceded 1 long ball and they yield 4.76 runs per 9 innings (17th in MLB).

New York relief pitchers have inherited  3 base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound in 3 games with high leverage in addition to 1 contest with runners on base. With 1 save chance, the Mets have 2 holds and also 1 blown save. They have sent 6 relief pitchers onto the field for the year. New York has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 3 save situations and they have walked away with 0 saves.

Walker (35-34 career record) has a 3.84 ERA while surrendering 8.4 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.87 and he has gone up against 2,468 opposing hitters during his career. He has given up a total of 248 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.246 and a FIP of 4.2. During his MLB career, Walker has allowed 541 hits while totaling 528 K's in 581 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (+149)

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