Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 8/19/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Thursday, August 19, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+190) Cincinnati (-256)

Luis Castillo and the Cincinnati Reds (65-56, 2nd in NL Central) host the Miami Marlins (51-69, 5th in NL East) at Great American Ball Park on Thursday. The Marlins open this contest at +190 while the Reds are priced at -256. The total opens at 7.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Zach Thompson and Luis Castillo.

Miami is slugging .379 and have struck out 1,156 times, while being walked on 343 occasions. They have recorded 457 runs batted in as well as 946 base knocks this season, and their team batting average is .237. The Marlins have recorded 175 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 121 baseballs out of the park. They have notched a total of 481 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .303. As a team, the Miami Marlins are notching 4.0 runs per game, which has them at 27th in MLB.

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The Marlins have an ERA of 3.84 so far this season (11th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,022 batters. They have walked 389 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.95 as a team this season. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.63 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.26. Marlins pitchers have yielded 115 home runs in addition to 502 total runs (12th in baseball).

The Marlins bullpen have earned a save rate of 50.0% and has entered the game in 106 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 132 runners so far this season with 38.6% of them ended up crossing the plate. Marlins relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 87 times in addition to having 133 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have sent 443 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. The relief pitchers have 60 holds this year (17th in baseball). They have earned 23 saves over the course of the season and have blown 23 of their 46 save opportunities.

The Marlins have turned 69.4% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 9,459 innings on the field, which ranks them 16th in the majors. The Miami Marlins have 3,153 putouts so far this season, in addition to 1,069 assists and 83 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .981 which has them ranked 29th in professional baseball, and they have twisted 816 double plays.

Thompson has taken the mound for 52 innings and has totaled 48 punch outs during his pro baseball career. Thompson (2-5 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 3.59 and he has faced 216 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 2.91 (17 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.120. He has allowed 39 base hits (6.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 20 walks.

The Cincinnati Reds have earned an on-base percentage of .334 as well as a batting average of .253 for the season. They have been rung up on 1,093 occasions (9th in MLB) and have a total of 1,038 hits. Cincinnati has tallied 168 HRs this year as well as 591 runs batted in. The Reds have a team SLG% of .434 and they are scoring 5.08 runs per game (5th in the league). They have 219 two-baggers, while getting a free base 428 times as well as scoring 615 runs.

The Reds are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.379 with a FIP of 4.42 as a team on the year. They come in at 20th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 997. The Cincinnati pitching staff have surrendered 582 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 4.45 (534 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio is 2.36 (1,157 strikeouts against 491 free passes). They have surrendered 156 dingers and they surrender 4.85 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB).

Cincinnati relievers have an inherited score percentage of 39.1% of 197 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 152 times in high leverage situations and also on 133 occasions with runners on base. With 119 save situations, the Reds have 60 holds and also 24 blown saves. They are ranked 21st in MLB with a save percentage of 57.9%, and they have sent 440 bullpen pitchers to the hill this season. Cincinnati has had relief pitchers enter the game in 57 save opportunities and they have recorded 33 saves.

In 9,717 innings on the diamond, the Reds hold a efficiency on defense of 68.9% (22nd in baseball). The Cincinnati Reds have turned 89 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (15th in baseball). The Reds have 1,054 assists, 66 errors and have earned 3,239 putouts for the season.

In his pro baseball career, Castillo has surrendered 558 base knocks while he has accumulated 716 strikeouts in 657 frames. He has conceded a total of 278 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.219 and a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio is 2.95 and he has faced 2,739 opposing hitters during his MLB career. Castillo (38-45 record in his career) has earned a 3.81 earned run average and has surrendered 7.6 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-256)

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