Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 7/4/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Sunday, July 4, 2021

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Sandy Alcantara and the Miami Marlins (34-45, 5th in NL East) are headed to Truist Park on Sunday where they'll take on the Atlanta Braves (39-41, 3rd in NL East).

Miami has a slugging % of .372 and have struck out 763 times, while drawing a walk on 231 occasions. They have accumulated 298 runs batted in in addition to 611 hits on the campaign, and their batting average sits at .233. The Marlins have accrued 112 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 76 baseballs out of the park. They have earned a total of 315 runs while having a team OBP of .300. As a team, the Miami Marlins are putting up 4.0 runs per game, which is 27th in the league.

Marlins pitchers have allowed 63 home runs in addition to 294 runs (3rd in baseball). They have walked 235 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.57 as a team for the year. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.89 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.17. The Marlins hold a team ERA of 3.41 on the campaign (5th in the league), and the staff has rung up 679 batters.

The Marlins relievers have a save percentage of 46.7% and has entered the game in 67 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 75 base runners on the campaign and 34.7% of them earned a run for their team. Marlins relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 52 times as well as having 86 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have sent 282 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. The relievers have notched 37 holds so far this season (17th in the league). They have recorded 14 saves for the season and have blown 16 of 30 save chances.

The Marlins have converted 70.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 6,243 innings on the field, which ranks them 11th in professional baseball. The Miami Marlins have 2,081 putouts on the year, as well as 704 assists and 51 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .982 which has them sitting 25th in MLB, and they have twisted 541 double plays.

Alcantara has pitched in 388 innings and has totaled 323 strikeouts during his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.55 (153 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.254. He has conceded 333 hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 154 walks. Alcantara (15-26 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.25 and he has gone up against 1,624 opposing batters during his time in the majors.

Atlanta has compiled 115 home runs this season to go along with 364 RBIs. They have 133 doubles, while getting a free base 289 times as well as racking up 379 runs. The Atlanta Braves have an on-base percentage of .320 and a batting average of .237 over the course of the season. The Braves hold a team slugging percentage of .429 and they are earning 4.74 runs per contest (10th in the league). They have been rung up on 754 instances (8th in MLB) and have accounted for 620 base hits.

The Atlanta pitching staff have yielded 364 runs for the season while having an ERA of 4.25 (328 earned runs given up). They have conceded 94 HR's and they surrender 4.71 runs per 9 innings (18th in MLB). The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.292 with a FIP of 4.18 as a pitching staff this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.68 (710 strikeouts vs 265 walks). They rank 16th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 633.

Atlanta has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 30 save opportunities and they have tallied 17 saves. They rank 23rd in MLB holding a save percentage of 56.7%, and they have sent 289 relief pitchers onto the diamond this year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 119 times in high leverage situations and on 72 occasions with runners on base. Atlanta relievers have an inherited score percentage of 40.7% of 113 inherited runners. Sitting with 81 save situations, the Braves have earned 50 holds and 13 blown saves.

In 6,255 innings on the field, the Braves have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (14th in pro baseball). The Atlanta Braves have twisted 50 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (6th in pro baseball). The Braves have accrued 715 assists, 40 errors and have notched a total of 2,085 putouts over the course of the season.

Morton (100-92 career record) has earned a 4.06 earned run average while surrendering 8.7 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.52 and he has faced 6,564 opposing batters in his pro baseball career. He has allowed 689 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.322 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. In his MLB career, Morton has surrendered 1,471 hits while accumulating 1,376 punch outs in 1,526 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta

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