Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies Prediction, 4/3/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies
Date: Saturday, April 3, 2021
Location: Coors Field in Denver, CO
TV: AT&T SportsNet Rocky Mountain
Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles (-303) Colorado (+190)
Coors Field is the venue where Jon Gray and the Colorado Rockies (26-34, 4th in NL West last year) will play the Los Angeles Dodgers (43-17, 1st in NL West last season) on Saturday. The Dodgers open this matchup at -303 while the Rockies are priced at +190. The O/U has been set at 11.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Walker Buehler and Jon Gray.
Los Angeles had a slugging percentage of .483 and struck out 471 times last year, while taking a walk on 228 occasions. They accounted for 327 runs batted in in addition to 523 base knocks in the previous season, and their average at the plate sat at .256. The Dodgers accumulated 97 doubles as a unit and smacked 118 baseballs out of the park. They earned 349 runs scored and held an OBP of .338. As a squad, the Los Angeles Dodgers notched 5.8 runs per game, which was 1st in MLB.
The Dodgers finished with a team ERA of 3.03 for the previous season (1st in baseball), and they struck out 517 batters. Their pitching staff walked 145 opposing players and their FIP was 3.79 as a squad for the previous season. They earned a K/BB ratio of 3.57 and their pitching staff finished with a WHIP of 1.06. Dodgers pitchers yielded 66 long balls and also 213 runs (29th in the league). Dodgers relief pitchers came into the game with runners on base in 74 outings in addition to 66 outings with high leverage. The bullpen a total of 52 holds last year (2nd in MLB). The Dodgers relief pitchers had a save percentage of 60.0% and came into the game in 79 save situations. They compiled 15 saves in the previous season and blew 10 of their 25 save opportunities. The relievers inherited 102 base runners for the previous season and 27.5% of those runners crossed the plate. The Dodgers sent forth 249 relief pitchers to the mound for the previous season.
Buehler was the owner of a FIP of 4.36 and he earned an ERA+ of 124. He conceded 14 earned runs last year and had a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.8. He allowed 5.9 H/9 (hits per 9 innings) and he had a WHIP of 0.955. His ERA was at 3.44 and he fanned 42 batters. Walker Buehler surrendered 24 base knocks in 36.2 innings pitched over the course of last year. Buehler (24-9 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.23 while he has faced 1,469 hitters in the majors. He has allowed 283 base hits (7.0 hits per nine innings) with 93 walks. His ERA is 3.15 (128 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.028. Buehler has taken the ball for 365 frames and has tallied 420 punch outs thus far in his career.
The Rockies hit 84 two-baggers, while walking 161 times as well as recording 275 runs. The Rockies had a slugging percentage of .405 and they had an average of 4.58 runs per game (15th in baseball). Colorado recorded 63 home runs for the prior year to go along with 264 RBIs. They were called out on strikes on 543 occasions (10th in the league) and recorded 528 base knocks. The Colorado Rockies accumulated a team OBP of .311 as well as a batting average of .257 over the course of the prior season.
The Colorado pitching staff given up 353 runs in the prior season while holding an ERA of 5.59 (327 earned runs relinquished). They conceded 83 dingers and they yielded 6.04 runs per 9 innings (30th in MLB). The Rockies held a team WHIP of 1.490 in addition to having a FIP of 5.14 as a pitching staff during the previous year. They had a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.92 (393 strikeouts vs 205 walks). They had a ranking of 2nd in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 579. Colorado bullpen pitchers had an inherited score rate of 39.0% out of 96 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers stepped onto the mound in 59 games with high leverage in addition to 59 outings with runners on. Finishing with 24 chances for a save, the Rockies tallied 20 holds in addition to 8 blown saves. They ranked 9th in the league with a save rate of 66.7%, and they dispatched 189 relievers to the hill last season. Colorado had relief pitchers enter the game in 44 save situations and they walked away with 16 saves.
Gray had a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.0 with 22 total K's and he held an ERA+ of 78. His WHIP sat at 1.44 and he had a FIP of 5.06 over the course of last season. He took the ball for 39.0 innings last season while allowing 10.4 hits per 9 innings. Gray allowed 45 base knocks while he conceded 29 ER's (6.69 ERA). Gray (45-37 career record) has earned a 4.59 ERA while conceding 9.1 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.12 and he has gone up against 2,912 opposing hitters during his career. He has allowed 347 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.341 and a FIP of 3.8. So far in his career, Gray has given up 690 base hits and he has 692 punch outs in 680 innings pitched.
So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?
Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Colorado (+190) and under 11.5 runs
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Additional Resources:
Colorado Rockies - Twitter
Los Angeles Dodgers - Twitter