Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 9/19/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Sunday, September 19, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles (-238) Cincinnati (+170)

Clayton Kershaw and the Los Angeles Dodgers (94-54, 2nd in NL West) go to Great American Ball Park on Sunday where they'll take on the Cincinnati Reds (77-71, 3rd in NL Central). The Reds open this game at +170 while the Dodgers are priced at -238. The over/under is set at 9. The starting pitchers will be Clayton Kershaw and Wade Miley.

As a squad, the Los Angeles Dodgers are recording 5.0 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. They have earned a total of 744 runs while holding a team OBP of .329. The Dodgers have earned 229 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 207 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accumulated 715 runs batted in in addition to 1,201 hits so far this year, while their average at the plate sits at .242. Los Angeles is slugging .422 and have struck out 1,304 times, while being walked on 563 occasions.

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Dodgers pitchers have surrendered 147 home runs and also 502 runs in total (1st in the league). They have walked 447 hitters and their FIP is 3.54 as a squad so far this year. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.28 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.09. The Dodgers hold a team ERA of 2.95 so far this season (1st in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,464 batters.

The Dodgers have dispatched 542 relief pitchers to the hill this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 207 base runners on the year and 21.7% of those runners crossed home plate. They have earned 47 saves this year and have not converted 27 of their 74 chances to get a save. The Dodgers bullpen have a save percentage of 63.5% and stepped onto the hill in 178 save situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 102 holds on the year (2nd in baseball). Dodgers bullpen pitchers have entered the game with players on base 149 times as well as having 185 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Dodgers have converted 72.5% of balls in play into outs out of 11,934 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 1st in professional baseball. The Los Angeles Dodgers have earned a total of 3,978 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,195 assists and 80 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .985 which puts them in 15th in MLB, and have accumulated 932 double plays.

Kershaw has taken the mound for 2,443 innings and is sitting with 2,658 strikeouts in his career. His earned run average is 2.47 (672 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.003. He has surrendered 1,845 base knocks (6.8 hits per 9 innings) with 605 free passes. Kershaw (184-83 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 2.76 and he has faced 9,619 batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Reds hold a slugging % of .426 and they score 4.82 runs per contest (9th in MLB). They have hit 266 doubles, while walking 499 times and notching 714 runs. Cincinnati has accounted for 198 home runs on the year to go along with 686 RBIs. They have been rung up on 1,310 occasions (11th in the league) and have tallied 1,227 hits. The Cincinnati Reds hold a team on-base percentage of .327 as well as a team batting average of .248 so far this year.

The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.343 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.31 as a pitching staff this season. They are sitting at 15th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,202. The Cincinnati pitching staff have given up 684 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.32 (629 earned runs given up). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.48 (1,386 strikeouts vs 558 walks). They have allowed 186 long balls and they surrender 4.70 runs per 9 innings (15th in the league).

Cincinnati relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 39.2% out of their 222 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 176 times in high leverage situations in addition to 148 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 137 save situations, the Reds have recorded 69 holds and also 25 blown saves. They are ranked 14th in baseball holding a save rate of 62.1%, and they have sent 518 relievers onto the diamond on the year. Cincinnati has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 66 save chances and they have earned 41 saves.

Out of their 11,793 innings played, the Reds have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (22nd in MLB). The Cincinnati Reds have turned 115 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .985 (16th in the majors). The Reds have recorded 1,297 assists, 81 errors and have a total of 3,931 putouts this season.

Miley (97-91 mark in his career) holds a 4.12 ERA and has conceded 9.3 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.28 and he has faced 6,767 opposing batters in his MLB career. He has allowed 723 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.376 and having a FIP of 4.1. During his pro baseball career, Miley has allowed 1,623 hits while earning 1,250 punch outs in 1,578 innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+170)

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