Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 7/30/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Friday, July 30, 2021

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City (+175) Toronto (-233)

Rogers Centre is the venue where Ross Stripling and the Toronto Blue Jays (50-48, 4th in AL East) will take on the Kansas City Royals (44-56, 4th in AL Central) on Friday. The odds on this matchup have the Royals priced at +175 and the Blue Jays are at -233. The over/under opens at 11. The pitchers taking the mound will be Daniel Lynch and Ross Stripling.

As a unit, the Kansas City Royals are earning 4.2 runs per game, which puts them at 23rd in MLB. They have accounted for 418 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .305. The Royals have hit 147 doubles as a squad and have hit 104 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accounted for 396 RBI's and 807 hits this year, and their average at the plate comes in at .244. Kansas City is slugging .393 and have struck out 811 times, while drawing a walk on 270 occasions.

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Royals pitchers have given up 122 home runs in addition to 505 runs in total (23rd in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 384 batters and their FIP is 4.47 as a team so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.24 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.43. The Royals have an earned run average of 4.98 for the season (27th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 859 hitters.

Royals relief pitchers have entered the game with players on base 92 times and also have had 84 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have earned 52 holds so far this year (13th in MLB). The Royals relievers have earned a save percentage of 59.0% and has come into the game in 91 save situations. They have accumulated 23 saves on the campaign and have blown 16 of 39 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 144 base runners this year and 27.8% of those players crossed the plate. The Royals have dispatched 338 relievers to the hill on the season.

The Kansas City Royals have earned 2,601 putouts this season, as well as 868 assists and 57 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .984 which puts them in 18th in baseball, and they have twisted 680 double plays. The Royals have turned 67.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 7,803 innings on the diamond, ranking them 29th in pro baseball.

Lynch (1-2 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.53 and he has faced 74 hitters in the majors. He has given up 23 hits (12.9 hits per nine innings) and has 5 walks. His ERA is 7.88 (14 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.750. Lynch has taken the ball for 16 innings and has earned 11 punch outs in his MLB career.

The Blue Jays hold a team slugging % of .455 and they have an average of 5.10 runs per outing (3rd in MLB). They have tallied 165 doubles, while getting a free base 289 times as well as notching 500 runs. Toronto has knocked in 152 home runs so far this year to go along with 478 RBIs. They have struck out on 789 occasions (29th in baseball) and have earned a total of 877 base hits. The Toronto Blue Jays are sitting with a team OBP of .326 as well as a batting average of .264 this season.

The Blue Jays have a team WHIP of 1.272 in addition to having a FIP of 4.34 as a unit so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.92 (895 strikeouts against 307 walks). They have a ranking of 9th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 768. They have allowed 135 homers and they surrender 4.42 runs per 9 innings (12th in MLB). The Toronto pitching staff have conceded 415 runs this season while having a team ERA of 4.04 (379 earned runs surrendered).

Toronto relievers have an inherited score rate of 24.7% out of 166 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 94 times in high leverage situations and on 115 occasions with runners on. With 74 save situations, the Blue Jays have earned 42 holds and also 12 blown saves. They are ranked 19th in MLB holding a save rate of 58.6%, and they have sent 337 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this season. Toronto has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 29 save chances and they have converted 17 saves.

In their 7,611 innings played, the Blue Jays have a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (17th in the majors). The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 75 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .983 (22nd in the majors). The Blue Jays have recorded 862 assists, 59 errors and have accumulated 2,537 putouts so far this year.

So far in his MLB career, Stripling has surrendered 506 base hits while earning 501 punch outs in 516 innings pitched. Stripling (26-33 mark in his career) has a 3.94 ERA and has allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 226 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.240 and having a FIP of 4.1. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.74 and he has gone up against 2,156 hitters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Toronto (-233)

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