Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 9/1/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Wednesday, September 1, 2021

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: Root Sports Northwest

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-135) Seattle (+110)

Jake Odorizzi and the Houston Astros (77-53, 1st in AL West) travel to T-Mobile Park on Wednesday where they'll meet the Seattle Mariners (70-61, 3rd in AL West). The Astros open this matchup at -135 while the Mariners are priced at +110. The over/under is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Jake Odorizzi and Logan Gilbert.

As a unit, the Houston Astros are knocking in 5.3 runs per contest, which has them at 2nd in the league. They have earned 699 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .339. The Astros have tallied 247 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 169 balls out of the stadium. They have recorded 672 runs batted in and 1,208 base knocks for the season, and their team batting average is at .268. Houston has a slugging rate of .440 and have been rung up 991 times, while taking a walk on 462 occasions.

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The Astros are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.68 on the year (6th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,197 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 425 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.08 as a team this year. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.82 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.21. Astros pitchers have allowed 155 home runs in addition to 522 runs in total (7th in the league).

The Astros have sent 400 relief pitchers to the hill this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 162 base runners on the season and 36.4% of those runners crossed the plate. They have recorded 29 saves this year and have missed out on 20 out of their 49 save opportunities. The Astros relievers have a save rate of 59.2% and has come into the game in 107 save situations. The bullpen have 57 holds for the season (22nd in the league). Astros relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 110 times and also have had 123 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Astros have turned 71.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 10,512 innings, which has them sitting 3rd in the majors. The Houston Astros have earned 3,504 putouts this season, in addition to 1,135 assists and 53 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .989 which has them ranked 1st in MLB, and they have turned 951 double plays.

Odorizzi has pitched in 1,127 frames and has totaled 1,070 K's so far in his MLB career. Odorizzi (68-62 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.18 and he has faced 4,738 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.96 (496 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.240. He has surrendered 1,011 hits (8.1 hits per 9 innings) and has had 387 free passes.

The Mariners hold a team SLG% of .382 and they are scoring 4.19 runs per game (23rd in the league). They have hit 180 two-baggers, while getting a free base 430 times as well as racking up 553 runs. Seattle has 165 home runs this year as well as 533 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,254 instances (4th in MLB) and have totaled 968 hits. The Seattle Mariners have a team on-base percentage of .299 and a batting average of .223 this year.

The Mariners have a WHIP of 1.286 in addition to having a FIP of 4.25 as a pitching staff this year. They sit at 23rd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,112. The Seattle pitching staff have given up 614 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 4.35 (565 earned runs allowed). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.74 (1,072 strikeouts against 391 walks). They have surrendered 159 homers and they allow 4.73 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league).

Seattle has had relievers step onto the mound in 65 save opportunities and they have tallied 38 saves. They are ranked 22nd in baseball with a save rate of 58.5%, and they have dispatched 459 relievers onto the field on the season. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 164 times in high leverage situations in addition to 129 occasions with runners on. Seattle relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 28.7% out of 167 inherited base runners. With 136 save situations, the Mariners have recorded 71 holds in addition to 27 blown saves.

The Seattle Mariners have turned 115 double plays and have a fielding rate of .986 (8th in the majors). The Mariners have racked up 1,166 assists, 65 errors and have earned a total of 3,508 putouts this year. Out of their 10,524 innings played, the Mariners have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (14th in baseball).

During his pro baseball career, Gilbert has surrendered 86 hits while he has earned 97 punch outs in 86 innings pitched. Gilbert (5-5 mark in his career) holds a 5.44 earned run average and has given up 9.0 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 52 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.233 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio is 4.85 and he has faced 368 opposing batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Seattle (+110)

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