Houston Astros vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 9/3/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs San Diego Padres

Date: Friday, September 3, 2021

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-132) San Diego (+105)

Petco Park is the site where Jake Arrieta and the San Diego Padres (71-63, 3rd in NL West) will take on the Houston Astros (78-55, 1st in AL West) on Friday. The Padres open this matchup at +105 while the Astros are coming in at -132. The over/under has been set at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Jose Urquidy and Jake Arrieta.

The Astros have tallied 249 doubles as a squad and have hit 169 balls out of the park. Houston is slugging .437 and have been called out on strikes 1,007 times, while being walked on 466 occasions. As a unit, the Houston Astros are putting up 5.3 runs per contest, which has them at 2nd in MLB. They have 672 RBI's in addition to 1,223 base knocks for the year, while their team batting average sits at .267. They have a total of 699 runs while having a team OBP of .339.

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Astros pitchers have conceded 156 home runs in addition to 527 runs (5th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 433 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.07 as a unit on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.80 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.21. The Astros hold a team earned run average of 3.66 on the campaign (5th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,213 hitters.

The Astros have dispatched 408 relievers to the hill this season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 165 runners over the course of the season and 36.4% of those players ended up crossing the plate. They have compiled 29 saves so far this year and have blown 20 of their 49 chances to save the game. The Astros bullpen have a save rate of 59.2% and has stepped onto the mound in 107 save situations. The relievers have earned 57 holds so far this season (22nd in the league). Astros relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 112 times as well as having 126 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Astros have transformed 71.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 10,656 innings, which has them sitting at 2nd in pro baseball. The Houston Astros are sitting with 3,552 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 1,149 assists and 53 errors. Their fielding rate is at .989 which puts them in 1st in MLB, and have a total of 966 double plays.

Urquidy has taken the mound for 148 innings and is sitting with 123 strikeouts in his career. His ERA is 3.41 (56 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.007. He has conceded 121 base hits (7.4 hits per nine innings) and has 28 free passes. Urquidy (9-5 mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.06 while going up against 586 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues.

San Diego has tallied 156 HRs on the season as well as 586 runs batted in. They have put up 214 doubles, while taking a walk 502 times and notching 616 runs. The San Diego Padres have an OBP of .323 as well as a batting average of .242 for the season. The Padres hold a slugging % of .403 and they average 4.60 runs per outing (11th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 1,106 occasions (22nd in baseball) and have accounted for 1,075 base hits.

The Padres have a WHIP of 1.233 with a FIP of 3.96 as a pitching staff for the season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 3.07 (1,283 strikeouts vs 418 walks). They come in at 14th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,049. They have surrendered 157 long balls and they allow 4.14 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB). The San Diego pitching staff have yielded 548 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 3.77 (499 earned runs allowed).

San Diego has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 61 save opportunities and they have recorded 40 saves. They rank 9th in the league holding a save percentage of 65.6%, and they have sent 508 relievers onto the field this season. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 125 times in high leverage situations and on 92 occasions with base runners. San Diego relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 31.6% out of their 133 inherited base runners. With 144 save situations, the Padres have earned 81 holds and also 21 blown saves.

The San Diego Padres have turned 119 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .986 (11th in baseball). The Padres have 1,185 assists, 69 errors and have a total of 3,570 putouts so far this year. In their 10,710 innings on the field, the Padres hold a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (18th in the majors).

Arrieta (115-91 career mark) holds a 3.95 ERA while allowing 8.1 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.52 and he has gone up against 6,712 batters during his pro baseball career. He has allowed 703 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.251 and a FIP of 4.0. In his MLB career, Arrieta has given up 1,439 base knocks while totaling 1,427 K's in 1,603 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (-132)

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