Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction, 9/20/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels

Date: Monday, September 20, 2021

Location: Angel Stadium in Anaheim, CA

TV: Bally Sports West

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-294) Los Angeles (+205)

Angel Stadium is the site where Packy Naughton and the Los Angeles Angels (72-76, 4th in AL West) will play the Houston Astros (88-61, 1st in AL West) on Monday. The Angels open this game at +205 while the Astros are coming in at -294. The over/under is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Framber Valdez and Packy Naughton.

As a squad, the Houston Astros are scoring 5.3 runs/g, which is 2nd in the league. They have earned a total of 789 runs while having a team OBP of .340. The Astros have accounted for 283 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 193 balls out of the stadium. They have accounted for 760 RBI's in addition to 1,374 hits on the season, while their team batting average is .269. Houston has a slugging % of .442 and have been called out on strikes 1,115 times, while drawing a walk on 521 occasions.

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The Astros have an earned run average of 3.68 for the season (4th in the league), and they have rung up 1,345 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 492 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.07 as a unit so far this year. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.73 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.22. Astros pitchers have surrendered 171 home runs and 589 total runs (4th in baseball).

The Astros relief pitchers have a save rate of 58.2% and has come into the game in 120 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 183 base runners this year and 35.5% of them ended up scoring. Astros bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 126 times as well as having 150 appearances in high leverage situations. The Astros have dispatched 468 relievers to the hill for the season. The relief pitchers have tallied 64 holds on the campaign (25th in baseball). They have recorded 32 saves so far this season and have missed out on 23 of their 55 save opportunities.

The Houston Astros have accounted for 3,958 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,289 assists and 61 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .989 which has them ranked 1st in the majors, and have a total of 1,060 double plays. The Astros have turned 71.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of 11,874 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 2nd in professional baseball.

Valdez has pitched in 294 innings and is sitting with 287 strikeouts during his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.82 (125 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.325. He has given up 256 base hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 134 free passes. Valdez (23-16 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.03 while he has faced 1,266 hitters in the major leagues.

The Los Angeles Angels have accumulated a team OBP of .309 and a batting average of .247 on the campaign. They have struck out on 1,290 occasions (14th in baseball) and have earned 1,226 base hits. Los Angeles has recorded 179 home runs on the season as well as 629 runs batted in. The Angels hold a slugging % of .412 and they are earning 4.46 runs per game (17th in the league). They have 245 doubles, while getting a free base 405 times as well as notching 660 runs.

The Angels hold a team WHIP of 1.385 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.22 as a unit so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.48 (1,344 strikeouts against 543 walks). They sit at 19th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,250. They have conceded 171 homers and they allow 5.10 runs per 9 innings (23rd in baseball). The Los Angeles pitching staff have surrendered 734 runs this season while having a team ERA of 4.69 (674 earned runs yielded).

Los Angeles relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 38.1% out of their 328 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 153 times in high leverage situations and on 215 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 128 save situations, the Angels have 66 holds in addition to 23 blown saves. They are ranked 16th in MLB holding a save percentage of 61.7%, and they have sent 505 bullpen pitchers onto the field on the season. Los Angeles has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 60 save opportunities and they have come away with 37 saves.

The Los Angeles Angels have turned 120 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .984 (19th in baseball). The Angels have accrued 1,281 assists, 84 errors and are sitting with 3,884 putouts on the season. In 11,652 innings on the diamond, the Angels have a defensive efficiency of 67.7% (29th in pro baseball).

So far in his MLB career, Naughton has allowed 19 base hits and he has 11 K's in 16 innings. Naughton (0-2 career win-loss mark) has earned a 4.32 ERA and has conceded 10.3 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 8 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.620 and having a FIP of 4.3. His strikeout to walk ratio is 1.38 and he has faced 77 batters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Los Angeles (+205)

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