Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 6/26/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Saturday, June 26, 2021

Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI

TV: Bally Sports Detroit

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-222) Detroit (+170)

Casey Mize and the Detroit Tigers (32-43, 4th in AL Central) host the Houston Astros (47-28, 1st in AL West) at Comerica Park on Saturday. The Tigers open this contest at +170 while the Astros are coming in at -222. The O/U opens at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Lance McCullers Jr and Casey Mize.

The Astros have accounted for 151 doubles as a squad and have knocked 101 balls out of the park. Houston has a slugging rate of .459 and have struck out 551 times, while being walked on 275 occasions. As a unit, the Houston Astros are putting up 5.8 runs per contest, which ranks them 1st in baseball. They have amassed 417 runs batted in in addition to 734 hits over the course of the season, while their average at the plate sits at .281. They have earned a total of 437 runs while holding a team OBP of .352.

Astros pitchers have allowed 88 home runs and also 293 total runs (9th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 239 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.08 as a team on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.79 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.16. The Astros are sitting with a team ERA of 3.52 on the campaign (8th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 667 batters.

Astros pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 63 times as well as having 73 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 31 holds over the course of the season (21st in MLB). The Astros bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 55.6% and has entered the game in 59 save situations. They have compiled 15 saves on the year and have blown 12 of 27 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 100 base runners for the season and 41.0% of those runners crossed the plate. The Astros have dispatched 222 relief pitchers to the hill for the season.

The Houston Astros have earned a total of 2,018 putouts so far this season, in addition to 640 assists and 29 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .989 which puts them in 1st in MLB, and have a total of 546 double plays. The Astros have converted 73.1% of balls hit into play into outs in their 6,054 innings on the field, which has them ranked 1st in professional baseball.

McCullers (36-26 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 3.37 while going up against 2,394 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has surrendered 483 hits (7.6 hits per nine innings) and has had 231 walks. His ERA is 3.61 (229 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.251. McCullers has taken the hill for 570 innings and has earned 631 strikeouts during his career.

Detroit has accounted for 80 HRs on the year and 285 runs batted in. They have put up 97 doubles, while taking a walk 239 times as well as putting up 296 runs. The Detroit Tigers have an OBP of .303 in addition to a team batting average of .232 for the season. The Tigers hold a team slugging % of .382 and they score 3.95 runs per outing (24th in MLB). They have been rung up on 751 occasions (2nd in baseball) and have accounted for 574 hits.

The Tigers hold a team WHIP of 1.388 and have a FIP of 4.55 as a staff this year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.22 (603 strikeouts against 272 bases on balls). They sit at 23rd in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 636. They have surrendered 90 HR's and they yield 5.09 runs per 9 innings (24th in MLB). The Detroit pitching staff have conceded 370 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 4.58 (333 earned runs surrendered).

Detroit relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 34.0% of 106 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 70 times in high leverage situations and on 69 occasions with base runners. With 64 save situations, the Tigers have accumulated 37 holds and 9 blown saves. They are currently ranked 13th in the league with a save rate of 64.0%, and they have dispatched 260 bullpen pitchers to the hill this season. Detroit has called on relievers to take the mound in 25 save opportunities and they have walked away with 16 saves.

The Detroit Tigers have twisted 65 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .982 (24th in pro baseball). The Tigers have accrued 668 assists, 48 errors and have notched a total of 1,962 putouts during this campaign. In 5,886 innings played, the Tigers are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (21st in MLB).

Thus far in his career, Mize has allowed 97 base knocks while tallying 92 punch outs in 110 innings. He has given up a total of 55 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.211 and a FIP of 5.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.49 and he has faced 466 opposing batters thus far in his career. Mize (4-7 career record) has earned a 4.47 earned run average while conceding 7.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Detroit (+170)

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