Houston Astros vs Cleveland Indians Prediction, 7/3/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Cleveland Indians

Date: Saturday, July 3, 2021

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: SportsTime Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-196) Cleveland (+150)

Eli Morgan and the Cleveland Indians (42-36, 2nd in AL Central) host the Houston Astros (49-33, 1st in AL West) at Progressive Field on Saturday. The Astros open this game at -196 while the Indians are coming in at +150. The total is set at 9.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Jake Odorizzi and Eli Morgan.

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As a team, the Houston Astros are putting up 5.6 runs per contest, which is 1st in the league. They have accumulated 461 runs and have an on-base percentage of .351. The Astros have tallied 156 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 106 balls out of the stadium. They have 441 runs batted in as well as 777 hits on the year, and their batting average comes in at .275. Houston has a slugging % of .448 and have struck out 596 times, while taking a walk on 312 occasions.

The Astros are sitting with a team ERA of 3.66 over the course of the season (9th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 728 hitters. They have walked 267 batters and their FIP is 4.11 as a unit on the year. Their K/BB ratio is 2.73 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.19. Astros pitchers have conceded 96 home runs and also 329 runs in total (10th in the league).

Astros bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 71 times as well as having 82 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have 33 holds on the campaign (22nd in the league). The Astros relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 55.2% and has entered the game in 63 save situations. They have 16 saves on the season and have blown 13 of 29 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 108 base runners on the season and 41.7% of them earned a run for their team. The Astros have dispatched 244 relief pitchers to the mound for the season.

The Astros have converted 72.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 6,579 innings on the field, which has them sitting 2nd in baseball. The Houston Astros have earned a total of 2,193 putouts thus far, as well as 691 assists and 31 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .989 which puts them in 1st in baseball, and they have twisted 602 double plays.

Odorizzi has taken the hill for 1,077 frames and is sitting with 1,033 punch outs during his MLB career. Odorizzi (64-59 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.10 and he has gone up against 4,520 hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.93 (470 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.230. He has given up 958 hits (8.0 hits per nine innings) with 368 free passes.

The Cleveland Indians have tallied a team on-base percentage of .296 and a batting average of .228 so far this season. They have struck out on 644 occasions (29th in baseball) and have totaled 578 base hits. Cleveland has 95 home runs on the season to go along with 321 runs batted in. The Indians have a team SLG% of .394 and they have an average of 4.35 runs per contest (14th in the league). They have 112 two-baggers, while getting a free base 221 times as well as racking up 339 runs.

The Cleveland pitching staff have yielded 350 runs on the year while having an ERA of 4.37 (328 earned runs yielded). They have given up 99 home runs and they surrender 4.66 runs per 9 innings (17th in MLB). The Indians have a team WHIP of 1.301 and have a FIP of 4.24 as a unit on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 2.61 (742 strikeouts against 284 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 8th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 596.

Sitting with 62 save situations, the Indians have recorded 33 holds in addition to 5 blown saves. Cleveland has called on relievers to enter the contest in 27 save opportunities and they have earned 22 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 72 times in high leverage situations and on 69 occasions with runners on. Cleveland relievers have an inherited score rate of 32.6% out of their 95 inherited base runners. They are ranked 1st in the league holding a save rate of 81.5%, and they have sent 259 bullpen pitchers to the mound this year.

Out of their 6,090 innings on the diamond, the Indians hold a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (18th in baseball). The Cleveland Indians have twisted 64 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (10th in professional baseball). The Indians have recorded 659 assists, 41 errors and have earned 2,030 putouts this year.

In his career, Morgan has allowed 23 hits while he has accumulated 19 K's in 16 frames. Morgan (1-2 win-loss record in his career) holds a 9.37 earned run average and has allowed 12.7 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 17 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.531 and a FIP of 6.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.50 and he has gone up against 75 opposing batters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Houston (-196)

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