Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox Prediction, 10/11/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox

Date: Monday, October 11, 2021

Location: Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, IL

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+109) Chicago (-119)

Carlos Rodon and the Chicago White Sox (93-69, 1st in AL Central) host the Houston Astros (95-67, 1st in AL West) at Guaranteed Rate Field on Monday in Game 4 of the ALDS. Houston leads the series 2-1. The odds on this game have the Astros priced at +109 and the White Sox are at -119. The over/under opens at 8.5. The men taking the mound are Jose Urquidy and Carlos Rodon.

As a unit, the Houston Astros are recording 5.3 runs per game, which has them at 1st in baseball. They have earned 863 runs scored and hold an OBP of .339. The Astros have hit 299 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 221 balls out of the park. They have tallied 834 runs batted in in addition to 1,496 base knocks on the year, while their team batting average sits at .267. Houston has a slugging rate of .444 and have struck out 1,222 times, while drawing a walk on 569 occasions.

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Astros pitchers have relinquished 187 home runs in addition to 658 total runs (7th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 549 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.12 as a team over the course of the season. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.65 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.23. The Astros have an ERA of 3.76 so far this year (7th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,456 hitters.

The Astros relievers have a save percentage of 55.7% and has entered the game in 131 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 202 runners on the season with 36.1% of those players earned a run for their team. Astros relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 137 times as well as having 166 appearances in high leverage situations. The Astros have sent 512 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. The relief pitchers are sitting with 69 holds on the year (25th in MLB). They have compiled 34 saves on the year and have blown 27 of their 61 save chances.

The Houston Astros have notched a total of 4,335 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,432 assists and 71 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .988 which puts them in 1st in professional baseball, and have earned 1,153 double plays. The Astros have turned 71.3% of baseballs in play into outs in their 13,005 innings, which has them sitting at 3rd in MLB.

Urquidy has taken the ball for 177 innings and has tallied 147 K's during his career. His ERA is 3.55 (70 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.019. He has conceded 147 hits (7.4 hits per nine innings) and has 34 free passes. Urquidy (11-5 career record) has a FIP of 4.13 and he has faced 706 opposing hitters during his time in the majors.

Chicago has compiled 190 HRs for the season as well as 757 RBIs. They have recorded 275 doubles, while walking 586 times as well as earning 796 runs. The Chicago White Sox have compiled an OBP of .336 as well as a team batting average of .256 for the year. The White Sox hold a slugging % of .422 and they are scoring 4.91 runs per outing (8th in the league). They have been rung up on 1,389 occasions (18th in MLB) and have notched a total of 1,373 base knocks.

The White Sox are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.204 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.74 as a team for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.27 (1,588 strikeouts against 485 free passes). They sit at 3rd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,205. They have yielded 182 home runs and they relinquish 4.08 runs per 9 innings (5th in baseball). The Chicago pitching staff have conceded 636 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 3.73 (581 earned runs yielded).

Chicago bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 34.8% out of 201 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 154 times in high leverage situations in addition to 131 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 161 save situations, the White Sox have tallied 89 holds in addition to 25 blown saves. They rank 12th in the league with a save percentage of 63.2%, and they have sent 512 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. Chicago has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 68 save chances and they have walked away with 43 saves.

The Chicago White Sox have twisted 112 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .982 (27th in MLB). The White Sox have recorded 1,210 assists, 97 errors and have earned a total of 4,210 putouts this year. In their 12,630 innings played, the White Sox are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 69.4% (18th in MLB).

In his pro baseball career, Rodon has given up 600 base hits while he has earned 710 K's in 669 innings pitched. Rodon (42-38 career mark) has earned a 3.79 ERA and has surrendered 8.1 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 282 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.295 and a FIP of 3.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.66 and he has faced 2,857 hitters so far in his career.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Chicago (-119) and under 8.5 runs

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