Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 9/30/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins
Date: Thursday, September 30, 2021
Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN
TV: Bally Sports North
Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (+160) Minnesota (-208)
Joe Ryan and the Minnesota Twins (70-87, 5th in AL Central) play the Detroit Tigers (75-82, 3rd in AL Central) at Target Field on Thursday. The moneyline on this contest has the Tigers coming in at +160 and the Twins are at -208. The total has been set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Tarik Skubal and Joe Ryan.
Detroit is slugging .400 and have struck out 1,467 times, while being walked on 475 occasions. They have 653 RBI's as well as 1,257 base knocks for the season, and their team batting average sits at .241. The Tigers have hit 228 doubles as a unit and have knocked 175 balls out of the stadium. They have accounted for 675 runs scored while having a team OBP of .307. As a squad, the Detroit Tigers are scoring 4.3 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league.
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Tigers pitchers have allowed 191 home runs and 729 total runs (17th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 553 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.57 as a team this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.20 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.36. The Tigers hold a team earned run average of 4.29 on the year (15th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,218 batters.
The Tigers relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 65.6% and has stepped onto the mound in 142 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 226 base runners for the season with 36.3% of those runners earned a run for their team. Tigers bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 150 times in addition to having 162 appearances in high leverage situations. The Tigers have sent 561 relievers to the mound this season. The bullpen have earned 76 holds on the campaign (15th in baseball). They have recorded 40 saves on the campaign and have blown 21 of 61 chances to save the game.
The Detroit Tigers have accumulated 4,133 putouts for the season, in addition to 1,454 assists and 80 errors. Their fielding rate is at .986 which has them sitting 10th in pro baseball, and they have twisted 1,105 double plays. The Tigers have turned 69.9% of balls in play into outs out of 12,399 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 13th in pro baseball.
Skubal has pitched in 178 frames and has 200 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.40 (87 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.236. He has conceded 163 base hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) and has had 57 walks. Skubal (9-16 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 5.01 and he has gone up against 751 batters during his time in the majors.
The Twins hold a team SLG% of .422 and they are scoring 4.46 runs per game (16th in the league). They have tallied 263 doubles, while getting a free base 515 times as well as scoring 700 runs. Minnesota has a total of 219 long balls on the campaign to go along with 662 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,367 occasions (14th in the league) and are sitting with 1,263 base knocks. The Minnesota Twins have a team OBP of .314 in addition to a batting average of .240 for the season.
The Twins hold a team WHIP of 1.320 with a FIP of 4.67 as a unit this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.72 (1,276 strikeouts vs 469 free passes). They sit at 23rd in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,346. They have allowed 235 dingers and they concede 5.29 runs per 9 innings (26th in MLB). The Minnesota pitching staff have allowed 808 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 4.82 (737 earned runs yielded).
Minnesota relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 44.6% out of 166 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 170 times in high leverage situations in addition to 124 occasions with runners on. With 148 save situations, the Twins have earned 85 holds in addition to 20 blown saves. They are ranked 4th in MLB with a save percentage of 67.2%, and they have dispatched 511 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. Minnesota has called on relief pitchers to take the mound in 61 save chances and they have walked away with 41 saves.
In 12,378 innings on the field, the Twins hold a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (19th in pro baseball). The Minnesota Twins have turned 136 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in pro baseball). The Twins have racked up 1,385 assists, 106 errors and have earned a total of 4,126 putouts so far this year.
During his pro baseball career, Ryan has allowed 10 hits while earning 25 K's in 22 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 6 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 0.591 and a FIP of 2.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.33 and he has faced 78 batters in his career. Ryan (2-1 record in his career) holds a 2.45 ERA while allowing 4.1 hits per 9 innings.
Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Minnesota (-208)
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Additional Resources:
Minnesota Twins - Twitter
Detroit Tigers - Twitter