Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 9/29/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Wednesday, September 29, 2021

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Bally Sports North

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (+155) Minnesota (-200)

Target Field is the site where Michael Pineda and the Minnesota Twins (69-87, 5th in AL Central) will take on the Detroit Tigers (75-81, 3rd in AL Central) on Wednesday. The odds on this game have the Tigers coming in at +155 and the Twins are at -200. The total opens at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Casey Mize and Michael Pineda.

The Tigers have recorded 225 doubles as a team and have hit 175 balls out of the park. Detroit is slugging .400 and have been called out on strikes 1,460 times, while drawing a walk on 471 occasions. As a team, the Detroit Tigers are putting up 4.3 runs per game, which puts them at 23rd in the league. They have recorded 651 RBI's and 1,249 base knocks over the course of the season, and their team batting average is at .241. They have accounted for 673 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .307.

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The Tigers hold a team earned run average of 4.30 on the season (16th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,209 batters. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.19 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.36. Tigers pitchers have given up 190 home runs in addition to 726 runs in total (17th in the league). They have walked 551 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.58 as a team on the year.

The Tigers bullpen have earned a save percentage of 65.6% and stepped onto the hill in 142 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 226 runners on the year with 36.3% of those runners earned a run for their team. Tigers pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 150 times in addition to having 162 appearances in high leverage situations. The Tigers have sent 560 relievers to the hill on the year. The relievers are sitting with 76 holds for the season (15th in the league). They have 40 saves so far this year and have blown 21 out of their 61 save opportunities.

The Detroit Tigers have accumulated 4,109 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 1,447 assists and 80 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .986 which has them ranked 11th in pro baseball, and have a total of 1,097 double plays. The Tigers have turned 69.9% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,327 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 12th in pro baseball.

Mize has taken the mound for 174 frames and has accumulated 140 K's so far in his pro baseball career. Mize (7-11 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 5.00 while he has faced 728 opposing batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.17 (81 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.191. He has given up 154 base hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) with 54 walks.

The Twins have a team SLG% of .422 and they are earning 4.47 runs per outing (16th in baseball). They have hit 263 two-baggers, while taking a walk 513 times and scoring 697 runs. Minnesota has compiled 218 HRs on the campaign and 659 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 1,358 occasions (14th in baseball) and have earned 1,256 base hits. The Minnesota Twins hold an on-base percentage of .314 in addition to a team batting average of .240 on the campaign.

The Twins hold a team WHIP of 1.320 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.68 as a squad this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.73 (1,269 strikeouts against 465 walks). They rank 23rd in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,338. They have given up 235 homers and they relinquish 5.31 runs per 9 innings (26th in MLB). The Minnesota pitching staff have conceded 806 runs for the season while having an ERA of 4.84 (735 earned runs surrendered).

Minnesota relievers have an inherited score percentage of 44.6% out of 166 inherited runners. Their relievers have come in 169 times in high leverage situations and also on 124 occasions with runners on base. With 144 save situations, the Twins have amassed 83 holds in addition to 20 blown saves. They sit at 5th in the league holding a save rate of 66.7%, and they have sent 506 bullpen pitchers to the hill for the season. Minnesota has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 60 save chances and they have tallied 40 saves.

Out of their 12,297 innings played, the Twins have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (18th in the majors). The Minnesota Twins have twisted 135 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .981 (29th in MLB). The Twins have racked up 1,376 assists, 106 errors and have accounted for 4,099 putouts so far this year.

In his pro baseball career, Pineda has conceded 924 base hits while he has earned 935 strikeouts in 956 innings. Pineda (61-54 career mark) has a 3.99 earned run average and has given up 8.7 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded a total of 424 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.189 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.39 and he has gone up against 3,964 hitters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (-200)

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