Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 7/28/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Wednesday, July 28, 2021

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Bally Sports North

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (+140) Minnesota (-175)

Target Field is the venue where J.A. Happ and the Minnesota Twins (43-58, 5th in AL Central) will take on the Detroit Tigers (47-55, 3rd in AL Central) on Wednesday. The Twins open this contest at -175 while the Tigers are coming in at +140. The total is set at 9.5. The men taking the mound will be Wily Peralta and J.A. Happ.

The Tigers have accumulated 130 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 118 baseballs out of the park. Detroit has a slugging rate of .396 and have been rung up 980 times, while drawing a walk on 321 occasions. As a team, the Detroit Tigers are scoring 4.3 runs per game, which has them sitting at 18th in the league. They have 423 runs batted in and 799 base knocks this season, while their batting average sits at .239. They have 437 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .308.

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Tigers pitchers have allowed 126 home runs and 495 total runs (23rd in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 352 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.57 as a team on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.30 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.35. The Tigers are sitting with a team ERA of 4.59 for the season (21st in baseball), and their staff has rung up 808 batters.

The Tigers have sent 354 relievers to the hill on the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 155 runners for the season and 37.4% of them crossed home plate. They have 23 saves over the course of the season and have blown 14 of their 37 save opportunities. The Tigers relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 62.2% and has come into the game in 92 save situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 51 holds on the season (12th in MLB). Tigers bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 97 times and also have had 98 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Tigers have transformed 69.6% of balls in play into outs out of 7,920 innings on the field, ranking them 15th in baseball. The Detroit Tigers have a total of 2,640 putouts this year, as well as 898 assists and 57 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .984 which has them ranked 13th in MLB, and they have turned 740 double plays.

Peralta has taken the hill for 818 innings and has accounted for 593 punch outs in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.42 (402 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.436. He has conceded 862 base knocks (9.5 hits per nine innings) with 313 walks. Peralta (53-58 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 4.52 while going up against 3,530 opposing hitters during his time in the majors.

The Twins hold a team slugging % of .426 and they are earning 4.54 runs per contest (12th in MLB). They have notched 166 doubles, while taking a walk 332 times and racking up 459 runs. Minnesota has compiled 142 long balls this season to go along with 424 runs batted in. They have struck out on 861 instances (19th in MLB) and have accounted for 819 base hits. The Minnesota Twins have tallied an on-base percentage of .316 and a batting average of .243 so far this year.

The Minnesota pitching staff have relinquished 529 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 4.89 (478 earned runs allowed). They have given up 151 homers and they relinquish 5.42 runs per 9 innings (28th in baseball). The Twins have a team WHIP of 1.328 and have a FIP of 4.62 as a pitching staff this season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 2.84 (830 strikeouts against 292 free passes). They come in at 27th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 875.

Minnesota relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 52.8% out of their 106 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 108 times in high leverage situations and on 80 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 91 save situations, the Twins have 52 holds and also 15 blown saves. They rank 15th in MLB with a save rate of 61.5%, and they have dispatched 319 relief pitchers onto the field so far this year. Minnesota has called on relievers to enter the contest in 39 save chances and they have earned 24 saves.

The Minnesota Twins have turned 86 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .981 (29th in professional baseball). The Twins have racked up 889 assists, 70 errors and have notched a total of 2,637 putouts over the course of the season. Out of their 7,911 innings played, the Twins have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.7% (23rd in MLB).

In his pro baseball career, Happ has allowed 1,760 base hits while earning 1,614 punch outs in 1,836 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 835 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.311 and having a FIP of 4.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.49 and he has gone up against 7,799 batters during his career. Happ (128-97 win-loss mark in his career) has a 4.09 ERA and has allowed 8.6 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Detroit (+140)

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