Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox Prediction, 10/1/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox

Date: Friday, October 1, 2021

Location: Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, IL

TV: NBC Sports Chicago

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (+165) Chicago (-185)

Guaranteed Rate Field is the site where Lance Lynn and the Chicago White Sox (91-68, 1st in AL Central) will play the Detroit Tigers (75-83, 3rd in AL Central) on Friday. The Tigers open this matchup at +165 while the White Sox are priced at -185. The O/U opens at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Wily Peralta and Lance Lynn.

The Tigers have tallied 229 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 175 baseballs out of the stadium. Detroit has a slugging rate of .399 and have struck out 1,475 times, while drawing a walk on 476 occasions. As a squad, the Detroit Tigers are recording 4.3 runs/g, which ranks them 23rd in MLB. They have recorded 655 RBI's and 1,267 hits this year, while their average at the plate is .242. They have racked up 677 runs and hold an OBP of .308.

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Tigers pitchers have conceded 192 long balls and also 734 total runs (18th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 556 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.57 as a squad this year. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.20 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.36. The Tigers have an earned run average of 4.30 so far this year (16th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,225 hitters.

The Tigers bullpen have a save rate of 65.6% and stepped onto the hill in 142 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 226 runners for the year and 36.3% of those players ended up scoring. Tigers pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 150 times in addition to having 162 appearances in high leverage situations. The Tigers have dispatched 565 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have racked up 76 holds this year (15th in MLB). They have 40 saves this year and have not converted 21 of 61 save opportunities.

The Detroit Tigers have a tally of 4,157 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,460 assists and 81 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .986 which has them sitting 10th in the majors, and they have twisted 1,113 double plays. The Tigers have converted 69.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,471 innings on the field, which ranks them 13th in professional baseball.

Peralta has thrown 867 frames and has earned 625 punch outs in his MLB career. Peralta (54-60 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 4.54 while going up against 3,750 batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 4.37 (421 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.441. He has allowed 915 base knocks (9.5 hits per nine innings) with 334 walks.

Chicago has accounted for 187 long balls over the course of the season as well as 742 RBIs. They have put up 267 two-baggers, while getting a free base 575 times as well as recording 781 runs. The Chicago White Sox hold a team on-base percentage of .336 as well as a batting average of .256 this year. The White Sox hold a team SLG% of .422 and they are earning 4.91 runs per game (8th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 1,364 occasions (15th in MLB) and have 1,344 base knocks.

The White Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.204 with a FIP of 3.75 as a unit for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.28 (1,557 strikeouts against 475 free passes). They sit at 3rd in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,182. They have surrendered 181 home runs and they allow 4.09 runs per 9 innings (6th in MLB). The Chicago pitching staff have surrendered 626 runs this year while having a team ERA of 3.73 (571 earned runs surrendered).

Chicago has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 67 save chances and they have earned 42 saves. They are currently ranked 12th in the league with a save percentage of 62.7%, and they have dispatched 499 relievers onto the field for the season. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 151 times in high leverage situations and also on 129 occasions with runners on base. Chicago bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 35.4% of 198 inherited runners. Sitting with 159 save situations, the White Sox have accumulated 88 holds and 25 blown saves.

Out of their 12,387 innings on the field, the White Sox are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (17th in professional baseball). The Chicago White Sox have twisted 108 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .982 (27th in the majors). The White Sox have racked up 1,194 assists, 96 errors and have notched a total of 4,129 putouts this year.

Lynn (114-77 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.49 ERA and has allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.77 and he has faced 6,671 hitters during his pro baseball career. He has allowed a total of 612 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.269 and having a FIP of 3.6. In his career, Lynn has allowed 1,431 hits while tallying 1,587 punch outs in 1,578 innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Detroit (+165)

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