Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 6/11/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Friday, June 11, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Colorado (+160) Cincinnati (-208)

Kyle Freeland and the Colorado Rockies (25-37, 4th in NL West) go to Great American Ball Park on Friday where they'll take on the Cincinnati Reds (29-30, 4th in NL Central). The Rockies open this matchup at +160 while the Reds are priced at -208. The over/under is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Kyle Freeland and Tyler Mahle.

Colorado owns a slugging percentage of .389 and have been called out on strikes 530 times, while being walked on 183 occasions. They have 248 runs batted in in addition to 493 base knocks this season, and their average at the plate is sitting at .243. The Rockies have accumulated 104 two-baggers as a team and have hit 53 balls out of the stadium. They have accumulated 265 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .309. As a unit, the Colorado Rockies are compiling 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in baseball.

The Rockies hold a team ERA of 4.71 this year (25th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 471 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.10 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.42. Rockies pitchers have allowed 70 home runs and 307 runs in total (25th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 224 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.50 as a squad for the year.

The Rockies relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 52.6% and has entered the game in 35 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 95 runners on the campaign and 37.9% of those runners crossed the plate. Rockies relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 59 times and also have had 59 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rockies have sent 199 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. The relief pitchers have 16 holds so far this year (30th in the league). They have earned 10 saves so far this season and have blown 9 of 19 chances to get a save.

The Colorado Rockies have accumulated 1,582 putouts on the year, in addition to 582 assists and 40 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .982 which puts them in 25th in MLB, and they have twisted 415 double plays. The Rockies have converted 68.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of 4,746 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 25th in professional baseball.

Freeland has taken the mound for 546 innings and has earned 412 K's so far in his career. His ERA is 4.22 (256 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.420. He has conceded 573 hits (9.4 hits per 9 innings) and has had 203 free passes. Freeland (33-33 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.56 and he has gone up against 2,372 hitters in the majors.

Cincinnati has compiled 82 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 276 runs batted in. They have tallied 101 doubles, while walking 202 times and racking up 290 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have an OBP of .327 and a team batting average of .248 for the season. The Reds have a slugging percentage of .426 and they score 4.92 runs per game (4th in baseball). They have struck out on 509 instances (23rd in MLB) and have recorded 497 hits.

The Reds are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.398 and have a FIP of 4.39 as a team over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.24 (572 strikeouts against 255 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 15th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 479. They have yielded 74 home runs and they give up 5.35 runs per 9 innings (28th in baseball). The Cincinnati pitching staff have relinquished 312 runs so far this season while holding a team ERA of 4.92 (287 earned runs surrendered).

Sitting with 41 save situations, the Reds have 18 holds and 8 blown saves. Cincinnati has had relief pitchers enter the game in 22 save opportunities and they have come away with 14 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 58 times in high leverage situations and also on 71 occasions with runners on. Cincinnati bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 44.3% of 106 inherited base runners. They sit at 10th in the league with a save rate of 63.6%, and they have dispatched 215 relief pitchers to the hill on the year.

The Cincinnati Reds have turned 38 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (19th in baseball). The Reds have recorded 526 assists, 37 errors and have notched a total of 1,575 putouts during this campaign. In 4,725 innings played, the Reds have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (21st in MLB).

Mahle (18-27 career record) holds a 4.46 ERA while allowing 8.8 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.77 and he has gone up against 1,611 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. He has surrendered 184 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.353 and a FIP of 4.5. In his career, Mahle has surrendered 364 base hits while he has totaled 385 strikeouts in 371 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Colorado (+160)

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