Cleveland Indians vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 8/4/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cleveland Indians vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Wednesday, August 4, 2021

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (+165) Toronto (-217)

Steven Matz and the Toronto Blue Jays (54-49, 4th in AL East) host the Cleveland Indians (52-51, 2nd in AL Central) at Rogers Centre on Wednesday. The Indians open this matchup at +165 while the Blue Jays are coming in at -217. The total is set at 10. The expected starting pitchers will be J.C. Mejia and Steven Matz.

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Cleveland has a slugging rate of .401 and have been called out on strikes 873 times, while taking a walk on 282 occasions. They have accounted for 422 RBI's in addition to 764 base knocks on the season, while their team batting average is .230. The Indians have accrued 148 doubles as a unit and have smacked 130 balls out of the stadium. They have earned 441 runs scored while having a team OBP of .297. As a team, the Cleveland Indians are earning 4.3 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 19th in baseball.

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The Indians have compiled a team earned run average of 4.50 this season (19th in the league), and they have rung up 933 batters. Their K/BB ratio is 2.62 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.31. Indians pitchers have given up 140 home runs and 471 runs in total (15th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 356 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.44 as a squad this season.

The Indians relievers have earned a save percentage of 69.2% and has come into the game in 89 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 132 base runners on the season and 32.6% of them crossed the plate. Indians pitchers have entered the game with players on base 91 times and also have had 107 appearances in high leverage situations. The Indians have sent 342 relief pitchers to the hill this season. The relievers have recorded 48 holds on the year (20th in baseball). They have accumulated 27 saves this year and have blown 12 of 39 chances to save the game.

The Indians have turned 69.7% of balls in play into outs out of 7,950 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 16th in the majors. The Cleveland Indians have a tally of 2,650 putouts this season, in addition to 872 assists and 57 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which has them sitting 17th in pro baseball, and they have turned 710 double plays.

Mejia has pitched in 45 innings and has accounted for 43 K's so far in his career. Mejia (1-6 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 5.60 while he has gone up against 200 opposing hitters in the majors. His ERA is 7.60 (38 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.489. He has given up 48 base knocks (9.6 hits per nine innings) with 19 walks.

The Toronto Blue Jays have earned a team OBP of .328 and a team batting average of .265 this year. They have struck out on 817 occasions (29th in baseball) and have 916 hits. Toronto has compiled 159 home runs so far this season and 505 RBIs. The Blue Jays hold a team slugging % of .458 and they have an average of 5.18 runs per game (3rd in MLB). They have recorded 175 doubles, while taking a walk 307 times and putting up 528 runs.

The Blue Jays hold a team WHIP of 1.251 and have a FIP of 4.28 as a pitching staff so far this year. They rank 8th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 790. The Toronto pitching staff have yielded 421 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.92 (384 earned runs yielded). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 2.97 (928 strikeouts against 312 walks). They have allowed 137 HR's and they surrender 4.30 runs per 9 innings (12th in MLB).

Toronto has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 30 save chances and they have earned 18 saves. They are ranked 15th in baseball holding a save rate of 60.0%, and they have sent 347 relievers onto the field over the course of the season. Their relievers have taken the field 94 times in high leverage situations and also on 116 occasions with runners on base. Toronto relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 24.6% out of 167 inherited runners. Sitting with 76 save situations, the Blue Jays have 43 holds and 12 blown saves.

In 7,935 innings on the field, the Blue Jays have a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (12th in the majors). The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 76 double plays and have a fielding rate of .982 (25th in pro baseball). The Blue Jays have recorded 890 assists, 63 errors and have earned 2,645 putouts during this campaign.

Thus far in his career, Matz has conceded 685 hits while he has tallied 643 K's in 670 innings. He has given up 326 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.328 and having a FIP of 4.4. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.14 and he has faced 2,875 hitters during his MLB career. Matz (39-47 mark in his career) has earned a 4.38 ERA while giving up 9.2 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toronto (-217)

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