Cleveland Indians vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 9/5/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cleveland Indians vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Sunday, September 5, 2021

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (+135) Boston (-172)

Fenway Park is the venue where Nick Pivetta and the Boston Red Sox (78-59, 3rd in AL East) will take on the Cleveland Indians (67-65, 2nd in AL Central) on Sunday. The Indians open this matchup at +135 while the Red Sox are coming in at -172. The O/U is set at 9.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Zach Plesac and Nick Pivetta.

The Indians have hit 200 doubles as a team and have smacked 173 baseballs out of the stadium. Cleveland has a slugging rate of .411 and have struck out 1,126 times, while drawing a walk on 384 occasions. As a team, the Cleveland Indians are knocking in 4.5 runs per game, which is 17th in baseball. They have accrued 564 runs batted in and 1,039 hits this season, and their batting average comes in at .238. They have accumulated 590 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .305.

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Indians pitchers have surrendered 173 long balls and 599 runs (15th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 445 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.37 as a team this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.64 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.28. The Indians hold a team ERA of 4.36 over the course of the season (17th in MLB), and they have rung up 1,176 batters.

Indians relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 121 times in addition to having 146 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have a total of 58 holds on the year (24th in MLB). The Indians relief pitchers have a save percentage of 67.3% and has come into the game in 113 save situations. They have earned 35 saves for the season and have blown 17 out of their 52 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 171 runners for the season and 36.3% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Indians have dispatched 442 relievers to the mound on the year.

The Indians have turned 70.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of 10,398 innings on the diamond, ranking them 9th in baseball. The Cleveland Indians have accounted for 3,466 putouts on the year, as well as 1,156 assists and 72 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .985 which is 16th in MLB, and have accumulated 926 double plays.

Plesac has taken the hill for 285 innings and has totaled 225 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.79 (120 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.104. He has conceded 245 base hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 70 free passes. Plesac (21-12 career record) has earned a FIP of 4.59 while going up against 1,153 opposing hitters during his time in the majors.

The Boston Red Sox have accounted for an OBP of .325 as well as a batting average of .259 so far this season. They have been called out on strikes on 1,167 occasions (16th in MLB) and have earned 1,198 base hits. Boston has compiled 182 HRs this season to go along with 651 runs batted in. The Red Sox hold a slugging percentage of .445 and they are recording 5.04 runs per game (4th in baseball). They have tallied 278 two-baggers, while taking a walk 420 times and putting up 690 runs.

The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.382 in addition to having a FIP of 3.98 as a staff over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 2.75 (1,277 strikeouts vs 464 free passes). They are currently ranked 28th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,188. They have conceded 148 HR's and they allow 4.72 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league). The Boston pitching staff have conceded 627 runs so far this year while having a team ERA of 4.28 (569 earned runs conceded).

Boston relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 30.9% out of 223 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 155 times in high leverage situations in addition to 143 occasions with runners on base. With 147 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 79 holds and 20 blown saves. They are ranked 4th in the league holding a save percentage of 68.3%, and they have sent 456 relievers onto the diamond on the year. Boston has had relievers enter the contest in 63 save chances and they have come away with 43 saves.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 120 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in MLB). The Red Sox have recorded 1,199 assists, 92 errors and have a tally of 3,586 putouts for the year. In 10,758 innings played, the Red Sox have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 65.9% (30th in baseball).

During his career, Pivetta has given up 547 base knocks while he has earned 585 K's in 541 innings pitched. He has conceded a total of 314 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.408 and a FIP of 4.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.72 and he has gone up against 2,352 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career. Pivetta (30-37 career win-loss mark) has a 5.22 earned run average while allowing 9.1 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-172)

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