Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 9/11/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Saturday, September 11, 2021

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+100) St. Louis (-125)

Busch Stadium is the site where Miles Mikolas and the St. Louis Cardinals (71-68, 3rd in NL Central) will play the Cincinnati Reds (74-67, 2nd in NL Central) on Saturday. The Reds open this contest at +100 while the Cardinals are coming in at -125. The over/under has been set at 7. The expected starting pitchers are Luis Castillo and Miles Mikolas.

As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are putting up 4.9 runs per game, which has them at 7th in the league. They have 693 runs while having a team OBP of .329. The Reds have accumulated 256 doubles as a squad and have hit 192 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accumulated 665 runs batted in and 1,181 hits so far this year, while their average at the plate is sitting at .250. Cincinnati is slugging .431 and have struck out 1,264 times, while drawing a walk on 483 occasions.

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The Reds have a team earned run average of 4.38 for the year (18th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,328 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 542 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.37 as a unit this year. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.45 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.35. Reds pitchers have yielded 182 home runs and 662 total runs (18th in baseball).

Reds relief pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 145 times and also have had 167 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 66 holds over the course of the season (16th in baseball). The Reds relievers have recorded a save rate of 60.3% and has come into the game in 131 save situations. They have recorded 38 saves for the year and have blown 25 of 63 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 219 runners so far this season and 39.3% of those players ended up scoring. The Reds have sent 500 relievers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Reds have converted 69.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,256 innings, which has them ranked 22nd in professional baseball. The Cincinnati Reds have accumulated 3,752 putouts for the season, as well as 1,229 assists and 76 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .985 which ranks 15th in MLB, and have 914 double plays.

Castillo has pitched in 682 innings and has totaled 744 K's so far in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.76 (285 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.214. He has conceded 579 base hits (7.6 hits per nine innings) and has had 250 free passes. Castillo (39-48 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 3.78 while facing 2,840 opposing hitters in the major leagues.

The St. Louis Cardinals hold an OBP of .311 and a team batting average of .239 on the campaign. They have been rung up on 1,144 occasions (26th in baseball) and have 1,099 hits. St. Louis has recorded 157 long balls on the season as well as 553 runs batted in. The Cardinals have a slugging percentage of .398 and they score 4.13 runs per outing (26th in the league). They have recorded 219 two-baggers, while taking a walk 419 times and recording 574 runs.

The Cardinals have a team WHIP of 1.318 with a FIP of 4.32 as a team on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 1.98 (1,058 strikeouts against 535 free passes). They rank 8th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,065. They have given up 129 home runs and they relinquish 4.42 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB). The St. Louis pitching staff have allowed 596 runs so far this year while having a team ERA of 4.11 (554 earned runs yielded).

St. Louis relievers have an inherited score rate of 37.1% out of 248 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 132 times in high leverage situations and also on 147 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 143 save situations, the Cardinals have accrued 84 holds and also 18 blown saves. They are ranked 3rd in MLB with a save rate of 68.4%, and they have dispatched 476 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond so far this year. St. Louis has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 57 save chances and they have tallied 39 saves.

The St. Louis Cardinals have twisted 108 double plays and have a fielding rate of .985 (17th in baseball). The Cardinals have 1,279 assists, 77 errors and have accounted for 3,642 putouts over the course of the season. In 10,926 innings on the field, the Cardinals have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.1% (4th in the majors).

Mikolas (31-26 win-loss record in his career) has a 3.87 earned run average and has conceded 9.0 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.62 and he has gone up against 2,073 hitters during his MLB career. He has conceded a total of 214 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.206 and a FIP of 4.0. So far in his career, Mikolas has surrendered 498 hits while he has totaled 369 punch outs in 497 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+100)

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