Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 10/2/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Saturday, October 2, 2021

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (-185) Pittsburgh (+140)

Tyler Mahle and the Cincinnati Reds (82-77, 3rd in NL Central) are headed to PNC Park on Saturday where they'll meet the Pittsburgh Pirates (59-100, 5th in NL Central). The Pirates open this matchup at +140 while the Reds are coming in at -185. The O/U opens at 8. The starting pitchers are Tyler Mahle and Max Kranick.

Cincinnati has a slugging rate of .431 and have been rung up 1,395 times, while drawing a walk on 543 occasions. They have accumulated 742 runs batted in and 1,327 base knocks so far this season, and their team batting average sits at .249. The Reds have tallied 287 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 218 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 772 runs while holding a team OBP of .328. As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are putting up 4.9 runs per game, which has them sitting at 9th in the league.

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The Reds have an earned run average of 4.36 on the year (19th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 1,493 hitters. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.47 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.35. Reds pitchers have conceded 204 home runs in addition to 740 runs (19th in MLB). They have walked 605 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.35 as a unit so far this season.

The Reds relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 61.2% and has stepped onto the mound in 142 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 239 base runners for the year and 37.2% of those players crossed the plate. Reds pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 159 times in addition to having 185 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have sent 567 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The relievers have accumulated 73 holds on the season (19th in the league). They have compiled 41 saves for the season and have missed out on 26 out of their 67 chances to get a save.

The Cincinnati Reds have earned 4,228 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,393 assists and 90 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .984 which has them ranked 19th in professional baseball, and have a total of 1,030 double plays. The Reds have turned 69.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,684 innings on the field, which has them ranked 20th in MLB.

Mahle (26-31 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 4.40 and he has faced 2,094 hitters in the majors. He has given up 464 hits (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 181 walks. His earned run average is 4.27 (230 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.330. Mahle has taken the ball for 485 innings and is sitting with 517 strikeouts thus far in his career.

The Pirates hold a team SLG% of .361 and they average 3.70 runs per contest (30th in MLB). They have put up 236 two-baggers, while walking 517 times as well as recording 589 runs. Pittsburgh has a total of 122 long balls on the season as well as 551 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,297 occasions (25th in MLB) and have recorded 1,224 hits. The Pittsburgh Pirates have a team on-base percentage of .307 in addition to a batting average of .234 over the course of the season.

The Pittsburgh pitching staff have conceded 819 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 5.09 (775 earned runs given up). They have given up 209 home runs and they surrender 5.38 runs per 9 innings (28th in baseball). The Pirates have a WHIP of 1.440 and have a FIP of 4.74 as a pitching staff on the season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.15 (1,282 strikeouts vs 596 bases on balls). They rank 26th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,375.

Pittsburgh bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.7% of 196 inherited runners. Their relievers have come in 130 times in high leverage situations and also on 117 occasions with runners on. With 124 save situations, the Pirates have earned 74 holds and also 23 blown saves. They are ranked 27th in the league with a save percentage of 51.1%, and they have dispatched 568 relief pitchers onto the diamond on the campaign. Pittsburgh has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 47 save opportunities and they have earned 24 saves.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have turned 136 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .988 (3rd in pro baseball). The Pirates have accrued 1,359 assists, 69 errors and have notched a total of 4,108 putouts for the season. In 12,324 innings played, the Pirates are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 68.7% (23rd in professional baseball).

So far in his career, Kranick has allowed 42 base hits while tallying 30 K's in 34 frames. He has conceded 24 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.702 and a FIP of 4.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.76 and he has faced 164 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career. Kranick (2-3 career record) has earned a 6.23 earned run average while conceding 10.9 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+140)

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