Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 10/1/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Friday, October 1, 2021

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (-196) Pittsburgh (+150)

Wil Crowe and the Pittsburgh Pirates (59-99, 5th in NL Central) host the Cincinnati Reds (82-77, 3rd in NL Central) at PNC Park on Friday. The odds on this game have the Reds priced at -196 and the Pirates are at +150. The total opens at 8. The pitchers expected to start will be Luis Castillo and Wil Crowe.

As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are notching 4.9 runs per game, which puts them at 9th in the league. They have tallied 772 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .328. The Reds have hit 287 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 218 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 742 runs batted in in addition to 1,327 hits this year, while their average at the plate is .249. Cincinnati has a slugging percentage of .431 and have been rung up 1,395 times, while being walked on 543 occasions.

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The Reds have a team ERA of 4.36 so far this year (18th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,493 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 605 batters and their FIP sits at 4.35 as a team for the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.47 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.35. Reds pitchers have given up 204 long balls in addition to 740 runs (20th in the league).

The Reds relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 61.2% and has stepped onto the mound in 142 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 239 runners so far this year and 37.2% of them ended up scoring. Reds relief pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 159 times as well as having 185 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have dispatched 567 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. The relief pitchers have a total of 73 holds so far this year (18th in the league). They have 41 saves this season and have blown 26 of their 67 save opportunities.

The Cincinnati Reds are sitting with 4,228 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,393 assists and 90 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which has them ranked 19th in MLB, and have accumulated 1,030 double plays. The Reds have converted 69.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,684 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 20th in pro baseball.

Castillo has taken the ball for 702 innings and has totaled 765 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. Castillo (40-49 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 3.76 and he has gone up against 2,920 hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.73 (291 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.217. He has allowed 598 hits (7.7 hits per nine innings) and has had 256 free passes.

The Pirates have a team slugging percentage of .362 and they are recording 3.73 runs per game (30th in the league). They have put up 236 doubles, while getting a free base 515 times and putting up 589 runs. Pittsburgh has accumulated 122 home runs this season as well as 551 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,289 occasions (25th in MLB) and have accounted for 1,218 base hits. The Pittsburgh Pirates have accumulated an on-base percentage of .307 as well as a team batting average of .234 on the year.

The Pirates hold a team WHIP of 1.437 in addition to having a FIP of 4.74 as a squad over the course of the season. Their K/BB ratio is 2.15 (1,277 strikeouts against 593 free passes). They are currently ranked 25th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,362. They have allowed 207 homers and they surrender 5.36 runs per 9 innings (27th in the league). The Pittsburgh pitching staff have surrendered 810 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 5.07 (766 earned runs given up).

Pittsburgh relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.7% out of 196 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 130 times in high leverage situations and on 117 occasions with runners on. With 124 save situations, the Pirates have 74 holds and also 23 blown saves. They are ranked 27th in the league with a save percentage of 51.1%, and they have dispatched 565 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the year. Pittsburgh has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 47 save opportunities and they have tallied 24 saves.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have turned 135 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (3rd in professional baseball). The Pirates have 1,345 assists, 69 errors and have earned a total of 4,081 putouts so far this year. In 12,243 innings on the field, the Pirates have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.7% (23rd in professional baseball).

In his MLB career, Crowe has allowed 139 base hits while accumulating 110 strikeouts in 119 innings. He has given up 82 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.697 and being the owner of a FIP of 6.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.75 and he has gone up against 549 batters so far in his MLB career. Crowe (4-10 career record) has earned a 6.20 ERA while giving up 10.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+150)

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