Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Prediction, 8/1/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets

Date: Sunday, August 1, 2021

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+130) New York (-172)

Citi Field is the venue where Marcus Stroman and the New York Mets (54-48, 1st in NL East) will take on the Cincinnati Reds (55-49, 2nd in NL Central) on Sunday. The Reds open this matchup at +130 while the Mets are priced at -172. The over/under opens at 9. The men taking the mound are Vladimir Gutierrez and Marcus Stroman.

Cincinnati has a slugging % of .422 and have been called out on strikes 927 times, while being walked on 360 occasions. They have earned 486 RBI's and 887 hits this year, and their batting average comes in at .252. The Reds have compiled 183 doubles as a unit and have knocked 134 baseballs out of the park. They are sitting with 510 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .332. As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are earning 4.9 runs per game, which has them sitting at 7th in MLB.

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The Reds have compiled a team ERA of 4.55 on the season (21st in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,005 batters. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.33 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.40. Reds pitchers have surrendered 139 home runs and also 514 total runs (24th in baseball). They have walked 431 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.48 as a unit on the year.

The Reds bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 58.0% and has entered the game in 99 save situations. The relievers have inherited 177 base runners this season with 40.1% of those runners ended up scoring. Reds relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 119 times in addition to having 133 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have sent 386 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. The relief pitchers have tallied 47 holds this season (18th in MLB). They have earned 29 saves this season and have not converted 21 of 50 chances to save the game.

The Cincinnati Reds are sitting with 2,784 putouts thus far, in addition to 904 assists and 63 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .983 which puts them in 19th in professional baseball, and have a total of 669 double plays. The Reds have turned 68.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of 8,352 innings, which ranks them 24th in baseball.

Gutierrez (5-3 mark in his career) has a FIP of 5.88 and he has gone up against 266 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. He has given up 59 hits (8.8 hits per 9 innings) with 28 free passes. His ERA is 4.75 (32 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.434. Gutierrez has pitched in 60 innings and has 42 K's so far in his MLB career.

New York has 111 home runs for the season to go along with 376 runs batted in. They have 135 doubles, while getting a free base 319 times and notching 391 runs. The New York Mets have compiled an on-base percentage of .316 in addition to a team batting average of .237 so far this year. The Mets have a team slugging % of .387 and they earn 3.83 runs per contest (29th in the league). They have struck out on 869 occasions (23rd in baseball) and have notched a total of 764 hits.

The Mets have a WHIP of 1.210 in addition to having a FIP of 3.82 as a squad for the year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 3.11 (928 strikeouts against 298 free passes). They are sitting at 3rd in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 743. They have given up 109 homers and they surrender 4.11 runs per 9 innings (10th in MLB). The New York pitching staff have allowed 393 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.61 (345 earned runs conceded).

Sitting with 94 save situations, the Mets have recorded 47 holds in addition to 16 blown saves. New York has called on relievers to take the mound in 46 save opportunities and they have converted 30 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 102 times in high leverage situations and on 78 occasions with runners on base. New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 33.3% out of 120 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 9th in MLB with a save rate of 65.2%, and they have dispatched 322 relief pitchers to the mound for the year.

The New York Mets have turned 76 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .985 (11th in MLB). The Mets have accrued 819 assists, 53 errors and have earned 2,581 putouts this season. In their 7,743 innings played, the Mets hold a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (13th in pro baseball).

During his pro baseball career, Stroman has given up 955 base knocks while he has tallied 792 punch outs in 965 frames. Stroman (58-56 mark in his career) has a 3.63 ERA while surrendering 8.9 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 389 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.270 and a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.92 and he has gone up against 4,021 batters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+130)

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