Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 7/8/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Thursday, July 8, 2021

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+100) Milwaukee (-125)

Adrian Houser and the Milwaukee Brewers (51-35, 1st in NL Central) host the Cincinnati Reds (44-41, 2nd in NL Central) at American Family Field on Thursday. The Reds open this game at +100 while the Brewers are priced at -125. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Tyler Mahle and Adrian Houser.

Cincinnati has a slugging % of .420 and have struck out 745 times, while drawing a walk on 293 occasions. They have compiled 400 runs batted in in addition to 710 hits so far this season, and their batting average is .249. The Reds have tallied 143 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 111 balls out of the park. They are sitting with 418 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .330. As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are putting up 4.9 runs per outing, which is 7th in baseball.

Reds pitchers have given up 107 long balls and also 416 runs in total (23rd in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 346 hitters and their FIP is 4.34 as a squad on the year. Their K/BB ratio is 2.39 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.37. The Reds have compiled a team earned run average of 4.53 so far this season (22nd in baseball), and the staff has struck out 828 hitters.

The Reds have sent 307 relievers to the hill so far this year. The relievers have inherited 140 base runners for the year and 41.4% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. They have earned 22 saves on the year and have blown 14 of their 36 chances to save the game. The Reds relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 61.1% and has entered the game in 73 save situations. The relievers have accumulated 35 holds on the season (22nd in MLB). Reds relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 94 times in addition to having 94 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Cincinnati Reds have earned a total of 2,264 putouts thus far, in addition to 735 assists and 54 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .982 which is 24th in the majors, and they have turned 542 double plays. The Reds have transformed 68.9% of balls in play into outs in their 6,792 innings on the diamond, ranking them 21st in the majors.

Mahle has taken the mound for 398 innings and has earned 425 K's in his MLB career. Mahle (20-28 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.47 while going up against 1,730 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.45 (197 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.349. He has conceded 388 base knocks (8.8 hits per nine innings) with 150 free passes.

The Brewers hold a slugging % of .379 and they are scoring 4.38 runs per outing (15th in the league). They have 124 doubles, while taking a walk 326 times and putting up 377 runs. Milwaukee has 102 home runs so far this season to go along with 358 RBIs. They have struck out on 840 occasions (3rd in baseball) and are sitting with 621 base hits. The Milwaukee Brewers have recorded an on-base percentage of .311 in addition to a team batting average of .220 this year.

The Brewers hold a team WHIP of 1.180 with a FIP of 3.80 as a unit on the year. They come in at 3rd in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 602. The Milwaukee pitching staff have allowed 332 runs so far this season while holding a team ERA of 3.53 (301 earned runs relinquished). Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.88 (875 strikeouts against 304 bases on balls). They have given up 93 long balls and they concede 3.89 runs per 9 innings (6th in baseball).

Milwaukee relievers have an inherited score rate of 34.8% out of 69 inherited runners. Their relievers have come in 100 times in high leverage situations in addition to 54 occasions with base runners. With 80 save situations, the Brewers have recorded 42 holds and 14 blown saves. They rank 16th in baseball with a save percentage of 63.2%, and they have sent 272 bullpen pitchers onto the field on the year. Milwaukee has called on relievers to enter the contest in 38 save opportunities and they have converted 24 saves.

The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 48 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .984 (10th in professional baseball). The Brewers have recorded 705 assists, 48 errors and have a tally of 2,304 putouts this year. In their 6,912 innings played, the Brewers have a defensive efficiency of 71.5% (3rd in pro baseball).

Houser (12-18 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.07 ERA while conceding 8.6 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.32 and he has faced 1,123 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. He has allowed 120 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.342 and having a FIP of 4.3. In his MLB career, Houser has given up 255 hits while he has tallied 234 strikeouts in 265 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-125)

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