Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 7/11/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Sunday, July 11, 2021

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Brandon Woodruff and the Milwaukee Brewers (53-36, 1st in NL Central) play the Cincinnati Reds (45-42, 2nd in NL Central) at American Family Field on Sunday.

The Reds have compiled 147 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 111 baseballs out of the park. Cincinnati has a slugging % of .418 and have been rung up 766 times, while drawing a walk on 298 occasions. As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are scoring 4.9 runs per game, which has them sitting at 9th in MLB. They have earned 406 runs batted in in addition to 729 base knocks so far this season, and their average at the plate comes in at .249. They have accumulated 426 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .330.

The Reds have an ERA of 4.49 for the year (22nd in the league), and their staff has rung up 843 hitters. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.37 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.37. Reds pitchers have given up 108 home runs and also 423 runs (23rd in MLB). They have walked 356 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.34 as a team on the campaign.

The Reds have dispatched 314 relievers to the mound for the year. The relievers have inherited 143 runners this year with 40.6% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have recorded 23 saves on the season and have blown 14 of 37 save opportunities. The Reds relievers have a save percentage of 62.2% and has come into the game in 76 save situations. The relief pitchers have 37 holds for the season (20th in the league). Reds relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 97 times as well as having 98 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Cincinnati Reds have earned a total of 2,315 putouts on the year, as well as 758 assists and 55 errors. Their fielding rate is at .982 which has them ranked 21st in professional baseball, and have earned 558 double plays. The Reds have turned 68.9% of balls in play into outs in their 6,945 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 21st in pro baseball.

Castillo has pitched in 617 innings and has racked up 668 strikeouts in his MLB career. Castillo (35-43 career mark) has a FIP of 3.80 while facing 2,565 batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.81 (261 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.204. He has allowed 520 base knocks (7.6 hits per nine innings) and has 223 free passes.

The Milwaukee Brewers have recorded an on-base percentage of .311 as well as a team batting average of .220 over the course of the season. They have been rung up on 868 occasions (3rd in the league) and have tallied 640 hits. Milwaukee has knocked in 108 home runs this year as well as 371 RBIs. The Brewers hold a team slugging % of .382 and they are scoring 4.38 runs per contest (15th in MLB). They have recorded 127 two-baggers, while getting a free base 337 times as well as notching 390 runs.

The Brewers hold a team WHIP of 1.177 and have a FIP of 3.77 as a squad this year. They are sitting at 3rd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 619. The Milwaukee pitching staff have allowed 339 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 3.46 (304 earned runs relinquished). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.89 (903 strikeouts vs 312 free passes). They have surrendered 94 homers and they surrender 3.86 runs per 9 innings (4th in baseball).

Sitting with 86 save situations, the Brewers have recorded 44 holds and also 16 blown saves. Milwaukee has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 41 save opportunities and they have recorded 25 saves. Their relievers have come in 108 times in high leverage situations and also on 57 occasions with runners on. Milwaukee relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 36.5% of 74 inherited base runners. They are ranked 18th in the league with a save percentage of 61.0%, and they have dispatched 282 bullpen pitchers to the mound this season.

Out of their 7,119 innings played, the Brewers have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 71.4% (3rd in pro baseball). The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 51 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (12th in baseball). The Brewers have accrued 729 assists, 50 errors and have notched a total of 2,373 putouts over the course of the season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Woodruff has surrendered 302 base knocks while he has tallied 438 strikeouts in 388 innings. Woodruff (26-15 record in his career) has earned a 3.22 earned run average while surrendering 7.0 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 139 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.039 and a FIP of 3.2. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.34 and he has faced 1,553 opposing batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Milwaukee

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