Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 7/10/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Saturday, July 10, 2021

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+150) Milwaukee (-200)

American Family Field is the venue where Freddy Peralta and the Milwaukee Brewers (53-36, 1st in NL Central) will take on the Cincinnati Reds (45-42, 2nd in NL Central) on Saturday. The Brewers open this matchup at -200 while the Reds are coming in at +150. The O/U is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Vladimir Gutierrez and Freddy Peralta.

As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are putting up 4.9 runs per game, which has them at 9th in baseball. They are sitting with 426 runs while holding a team OBP of .330. The Reds have hit 147 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 111 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 406 RBI's and 729 hits for the season, while their batting average is .249. Cincinnati is slugging .418 and have struck out 766 times, while taking a walk on 298 occasions.

Reds pitchers have conceded 108 home runs and also 423 total runs (23rd in MLB). They have walked 356 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.34 as a unit on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.37 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.37. The Reds have a team ERA of 4.49 on the year (22nd in the league), and they have struck out 843 batters.

Reds relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 97 times in addition to having 98 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 37 holds so far this year (20th in MLB). The Reds bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 62.2% and has entered the game in 76 save situations. They have compiled 23 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 14 out of their 37 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 143 runners so far this year and 40.6% of them ended up scoring. The Reds have sent 314 relievers to the hill on the season.

The Reds have turned 68.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 6,945 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 21st in baseball. The Cincinnati Reds have a total of 2,315 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 758 assists and 55 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .982 which has them sitting 21st in MLB, and they have twisted 558 double plays.

Gutierrez has taken the hill for 44 innings and is sitting with 36 punch outs thus far in his career. Gutierrez (4-3 career mark) has earned a FIP of 5.38 and he has gone up against 195 opposing batters in the majors. His ERA is 4.67 (23 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.376. He has surrendered 40 hits (8.1 hits per nine innings) and has 21 walks.

The Brewers have a team SLG% of .382 and they are recording 4.38 runs per game (15th in baseball). They have recorded 127 doubles, while taking a walk 337 times and notching 390 runs. Milwaukee has recorded 108 home runs on the season and 371 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 868 instances (3rd in the league) and have tallied 640 base hits. The Milwaukee Brewers hold an OBP of .311 and a batting average of .220 so far this year.

The Brewers hold a team WHIP of 1.177 in addition to having a FIP of 3.77 as a pitching staff so far this season. They rank 3rd in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 619. The Milwaukee pitching staff have given up 339 runs on the season while holding an ERA of 3.46 (304 earned runs allowed). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 2.89 (903 strikeouts vs 312 walks). They have yielded 94 dingers and they relinquish 3.86 runs per 9 innings (4th in the league).

Milwaukee has called on relievers to enter the contest in 41 save chances and they have walked away with 25 saves. They are currently ranked 18th in the league with a save rate of 61.0%, and they have sent 282 bullpen pitchers onto the field this year. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 108 times in high leverage situations and also on 57 occasions with runners on base. Milwaukee relievers hold an inherited score rate of 36.5% out of 74 inherited runners. With 86 save situations, the Brewers have accumulated 44 holds and 16 blown saves.

In 7,119 innings played, the Brewers have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 71.4% (3rd in MLB). The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 51 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (12th in baseball). The Brewers have 729 assists, 50 errors and have a tally of 2,373 putouts this season.

Peralta (23-11 career record) holds a 3.88 earned run average while allowing 6.3 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.95 and he has faced 1,192 batters in his pro baseball career. He has allowed a total of 123 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.159 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. So far in his MLB career, Peralta has surrendered 200 hits while accumulating 387 strikeouts in 285 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+150)

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