Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 6/16/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Wednesday, June 16, 2021

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+125) Milwaukee (-156)

American Family Field is the site where Freddy Peralta and the Milwaukee Brewers (38-28, 2nd in NL Central) will play the Cincinnati Reds (33-31, 3rd in NL Central) on Wednesday. The Brewers open this contest at -156 while the Reds are coming in at +125. The O/U has been set at 7.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Tyler Mahle and Freddy Peralta.

The Reds have accrued 113 doubles as a team and have hit 91 balls out of the stadium. Cincinnati has a slugging % of .433 and have struck out 550 times, while drawing a walk on 221 occasions. As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are scoring 5.1 runs per game, which has them at 3rd in MLB. They have recorded 315 RBI's in addition to 547 hits on the campaign, and their batting average is sitting at .251. They have earned a total of 329 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .331.

The Reds have compiled a team ERA of 4.82 on the year (25th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 624 batters. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.31 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.37. Reds pitchers have surrendered 79 home runs in addition to 331 runs in total (26th in baseball). They have walked 270 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.33 as a team this year.

Reds bullpen pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 74 times in addition to having 60 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 21 holds so far this year (28th in the league). The Reds bullpen have a save rate of 60.9% and has come into the game in 45 save situations. They have earned 14 saves this year and have blown 9 of their 23 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 112 runners on the season with 43.8% of those players ended up scoring. The Reds have sent 231 relievers to the hill for the year.

The Cincinnati Reds have amassed 1,710 putouts thus far, in addition to 560 assists and 39 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .983 which is 18th in the majors, and have accumulated 399 double plays. The Reds have transformed 69.2% of baseballs in play into outs in their 5,130 innings on the diamond, ranking them 20th in the majors.

Mahle has taken the mound for 377 frames and has tallied 391 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. Mahle (19-27 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.47 while he has faced 1,635 opposing batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.48 (188 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.348. He has surrendered 369 hits (8.8 hits per 9 innings) and has had 140 free passes.

Milwaukee has compiled 80 HRs over the course of the season as well as 255 runs batted in. They have recorded 88 doubles, while getting a free base 238 times and scoring 267 runs. The Milwaukee Brewers have a team on-base percentage of .300 and a team batting average of .212 this year. The Brewers hold a team slugging % of .371 and they earn 4.05 runs per game (21st in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 650 instances (3rd in MLB) and have a total of 454 base knocks.

The Milwaukee pitching staff have given up 265 runs this year while having an ERA of 3.67 (240 earned runs yielded). They have conceded 77 homers and they concede 4.05 runs per 9 innings (10th in MLB). The Brewers have a WHIP of 1.178 in addition to having a FIP of 3.83 as a team this season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 3.05 (683 strikeouts vs 224 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 6th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 470.

Milwaukee has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 31 save opportunities and they have tallied 20 saves. They sit at 10th in baseball with a save rate of 64.5%, and they have sent 208 relievers onto the field for the year. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 78 times in high leverage situations in addition to 40 occasions with runners on base. Milwaukee bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 37.7% out of their 53 inherited base runners. Sitting with 68 save situations, the Brewers have accrued 37 holds and 11 blown saves.

In 5,301 innings played, the Brewers are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 71.1% (7th in the majors). The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 37 double plays and have a fielding rate of .983 (21st in baseball). The Brewers have recorded 529 assists, 40 errors and have amassed 1,767 putouts for the year.

So far in his MLB career, Peralta has allowed 189 hits while tallying 356 K's in 260 innings pitched. Peralta (22-9 record in his career) has earned a 4.04 earned run average while allowing 6.5 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 117 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.178 and a FIP of 3.5. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.02 and he has faced 1,093 opposing batters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+125)

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